The
2017-18 National Basketball Association’s (NBA’s) regular season was one of the
most dynamic, electric, talked about and tweeted about in recent memory. The attention
now turns to the 2018 NBA Playoffs where there is a plethora of juicy
storylines that from will we get Chapter Four of the defending NBA champions
versus the three-time defending Eastern Conference champions? Will their arch
nemesis in their respective conferences, who enter this postseason as the No. 1
Seeds deny that moment from happening? What will last season’s No. 1 overall
pick in the 2016 draft and this season’s No. 13 pick, who are in race for this
season’s Rookie of the Year do in their first appearance in the NBA’s second
season? Also, what other talented team in this year’s field make an impact in
the postseason. These are the questions that will be tackled in the 2018 NBA
Playoff preview.
Abbreviation
Key:
which represents statistics from this season: ppg-points per game; rpg-
rebounds per game; spg-steals per game; bpg-block shots per game; FG%-field
goal percentage; 3-Pt.%-three-point percentage; opp.-opponent’s, mpg-minutes
per game and T-tied.
Eastern
Conference
(1)
Toronto
Raptors versus (8) Washington Wizards
-Season Series: tied 2-2.
-Season Series: tied 2-2.
Three
years ago, the Toronto Raptors and the Washington Wizards met in the opening
round of the playoffs with the Raptors having homecourt advantage. The then
three time defending Atlantic Division champions were swept by the team they
dominated in the regular season. In their second installment, the Raptors, who
won the Atlantic Division for the fourth time in the last five seasons enter
their second postseason tilt as the No. 1 Seed in the East and look as ready to
vanquish their postseason demons while the Wizards enter this matchup with a
lot of questions.
The
Raptors put together the best season in franchise history going 59-23 in the
regular season, with 34 of those wins coming at the Air Canada Centre, tying
the Houston Rockets, for the best home mark in the league at 34-7. Their 25
road wins are the best in franchise history, as was their 40-12 mark against
the rest of the East.
This
stellar record is due in large part to a marked improvement on both ends of the
court. At the offensive end, the Raptors relied on more ball movement, ranking
No. 6 in assists this season at 24.3 per game. They shot more three-pointers
this season, ranking third in attempts at 33.0, and finished tied with the
Dallas Mavericks in makes from distance at 11.8.
The
All-Star backcourt of DeMar DeRozan (23.0-Leads team, 5.2 apg, 45.6 FG%) and
Kyle Lowry (16.2 ppg, 6.9 apg-Leads team, 5.6 rpg, 39.9 3-Pt.%) made it happen
by involving the rest of the Raptors cast to make their own contributions at
the offensive end.
That
trust is why the Raptors had one of the best benches in the NBA led by sharp
shooter CJ Miles (10.0 ppg, 36.1 3-Pt.%), guards Fred VanVleet (8.6 ppg, 41.4
3-Pt.%), Norman Powell (5.5 ppg) and Delon Wright (8.0 ppg, 46.5 FG%, 36.6
3-Pt.%), forward Pascal Siakam (7.3 ppg, 4.5 rpg, 50.8 FG%) and center Jakob
Poeltl (6.9 ppg, 4.8 rpg, 65.9 FG%).
The
other starters alongside DeRozan and Lowry in forward Serge Ibaka (12.6 ppg,
6.3 rpg, 48.3 FG%, 36.0 3-Pt.%), center Jonas Valanciunas (12.7 ppg, 8.6
rpg-Leads team, 56.8 FG%) and rookie forward OG Anunoby (5.9 ppg, 47.1 FG%,
37.1 3-Pt.%) have been solid.
The
question for head coach Dwane Casey’s team is can they finally put it all
together and finally make it to The Finals for the first time in franchise
history.
In
the last four seasons, they have lost twice in the opening round, once as
mentioned to the Wizards when they had homecourt advantage and the past two
seasons have lost in the Conference Finals and last season in the Semifinals to
four-time league MVP LeBron James and the defending NBA champion Cleveland
Cavaliers.
The
other big hurdle the Raptors have not gotten over is not winning Game 1 of a
series, where they have lost their last 10 attempts, including 0-7 in the
Lowry/DeRozan and Coach Casey era dating back to the 2013 postseason.
“We’ve
lost a lot of Game 1s. Lost a lot of Game 1s,” Lowry said a couple of days ago.
“So, we got to play like Game 7 and that’s the mentality we have to have.”
It
almost appropriate that the Raptors first test of this postseason comes against
the Wizards (43-39), who this season have been the greatest example of Dr.
Jekyll versus Mr. Hyde.
While
they still have the same core of talented players like their starting quintet
of All-Star backcourt of John Wall (19.4 ppg, 9.6 apg, 37.1 FG%) and Bradley
Beal (22.6 ppg-Leads team, 4.5 apg, 4.4 rpg, 46.0 FG%, 37.5 3-Pt.%), center
Marcin Gortat (8.4 ppg, 7.6 rpg, 51.8 FG%), and forwards Markieff Morris (11.5
ppg, 5.6 rpg, 48.0 FG%, 36.7 3-Pt.%) and Otto Porter, Jr. (14.7 ppg, 6.4 rpg,
1.5 spg-Leads team 50.3 FG% 44.1 3-Pt.%-3rd NBA), the team was never
cohesive on either end of the floor the entire season, as evidenced by their 14
losses over the final 21 games of this season.
After
their fourth straight loss versus the struggling Atlanta Hawks (24-58) 103-97
last Friday night, their 14th of 15 this season to the 12 teams with
a below .500 record head coach Scott Brooks did not hold his frustration with
his team’s play overall this season.
“If
we’re going to talk about doing things, we got to do it with our actions. We
got to guard somebody,” he said.
“Our
perimeter defense is poorest. It’s embarrassing to get beat by back doors after
back doors. But I got to do a better job, and I have to figure it out going
into the playoffs who’s going to be able to not make mistakes as many times
that we do, and regardless of what they think they should play, there not going
to play.”
“We
got to start guarding somebody and we got to start moving the basketball the
way we’re capable of doing it. If we’re not going to do that, I’ll find five
guys that do that. I don’t care how small we are, or how big we are.”
“It’s
embarrassing that we don’t play with the passion we need to play at. It’s time.
We’ve been saying that for a while.”
It
did not help the Wizards that Wall played in just 41 games this season because
of injury, with 28 games of those absences following knee surgery on Jan. 31.
When he did come back, Wall played in just four of the team’s final 17 games.
In
the first 13 games without their starting lead guard, the Wizards went 10-3,
where they shot 49 percent from the field; averaged 30.2 assists in those games
with a point-differential of plus-five.
The
next 15 games of that stretch when the competition got tougher, the Wizards
were just 5-10, shooting a respectable 46 percent from the floor and averaging
26.9 assists, but their point-differential was a -3.9.
“Let’s
face it, anytime you lose one of the best players in the league it puts your
team in a tough position,” coach Scott Brooks, whose team lost at the Orlando
Magic (25-57) on Wednesday night said. “We’re a different team with him, like
any team would be. He’s dynamic, he’s explosive, gets easy points for all of
us.”
Another
reason for the Wizards inconsistency has been their bench play. Reserve forward
Kelly Oubre, Jr. (11.8 ppg, 4.5 rpg, 34.1 3-Pt.%), who has had a breakout
season off the bench for the boys from the nation’s capital has averaged just
10.2 points on 27.1 percent from the field the last 10 games, which includes an
eye-closing 10 for 53 from three-point range.
The
Wizards’ will be even thinner without guard Jodie Meeks (6.3, 34.3 3-Pt.%) and
his three-point shooting off the bench as the NBA suspended him for 25 games for
violating the league’s and the NBA Player’s Association’s Anti-Drug program
when he tested positive for Ipamorelin and Growth Hormone Releasing Reptide-2.
This
puts more pressure on Oubre, Jr. Wall’s understudy Tomas Satoransky (7.2 ppg,
3.9 apg, 52.3 FG%, 46.5 3-Pt.%), sharp shooting forward Mike Scott (8.8 ppg,
52.7 FG%, 40.5 3-Pt.%), center Ian Mahinmi (4.8 ppg, 4.1 rpg, 55.6 FG%) and
guard Ramon Sessions to perform along with Gortat, Morris, and Porter Jr.
If
that was not enough, Porter, Jr. is questionable for the start of the series
because of a lower right leg strain he sustained in the team’s 113-101 win
versus the Boston Celtics on Tuesday night.
There
are a few of things in the Wizards favor as they enter this series. For
starters, they defeated the Raptors twice this season, 107-96 on Nov. 5, 2017
at Toronto, and 102-96 on Mar. 2 in D.C. Wall did not play in any of the four
meetings between the two squads, so he adds a new wrinkle, a very important
one.
Perhaps
the biggest reason for hope that the Wizards have a chance in this series is
the fact that there have been several teams over the years that have had the
kind of talent the Wizards have pulled the upset of beating the No. 1 Seed in
the postseason.
Since
the NBA went to a 16-team format for the postseason in 1984 five No. 8 Seeds did
the unthinkable and upset the No. 1 Seed. The 1994 Denver Nuggets beat the then
Seattle Supersonics 3-2 in the then best-of-five opening round. The 1999 New
York Knicks knocked off the Heat in five games. The 2007 Golden State Warriors
sent the Dallas Mavericks home for the season in six games. The 2011 Memphis Grizzlies
upset the San Antonio Spurs in six games, and one-year later the Philadelphia
76ers knocked out the Chicago Bulls in six games.
Of
all those team though, only the Knicks advanced past the Semis, where they lost
in The Finals in 1999 to the Spurs in five games.
That
said, the Raptors have their best chance to get to The Finals. Truly the only
team that can beat them and no one would bat an eye to that are the Cavs. So,
for the Raptors, Lowry, DeRozan, and Coach Casey, it is now or perhaps never,
especially with the Boston Celtics and Philadelphia 76ers showing this season
they will be a force to be reckoned with in the years to come.
“As
long as you have that continuous opportunity, you got to understand, you know
they don’t come around too often,” DeRozan said to ESPN, “NBA: The Jump” host
Rachel Nichols earlier this week. “That we have another opportunity. This could
be our last, we got to treat it like our last.”
Series
Prediction:
Raptors in 5 games.
(4)
Cleveland Cavaliers versus (5) Indiana Pacers
-Season Series: Pacers won 3-1.
-Season Series: Pacers won 3-1.
The three-time defending Eastern Conference champions begin their quest to reach The Finals for a fourth straight season against a familiar foe, who many thought would have fallen off the cliff this season after trading away their perennial All-Star swingman to the West, for what was the equivalent of an Arizona ice tea and a bag of Lay’s potato chips. What the Indiana Pacers got back is a guy who became a first time All-Star and the person who came along in the trade did a complete 180 from his rookie season in OKC. Their reward, a rematch with their arch nemesis whose ended their season quite a few times in recent years.
Because
the Indiana Pacers (48-34) took three of the four games from the Central
Division champions, it is conventional wisdom that the outcome would be a lot
different than last season, where the Cavs swept the Pacers 4-0 in the opening
round.
History
though is not on their side as in the four prior meetings against James whether
he was with the Miami Heat and last season with the Cavs were sent home for the
summer in the Semis in 2012 4-2; twice in the Conference Finals 4-3 and 4-2 in
the Conference Finals respectably in 2013 and 2014.
The
simple fact that the Pacers are even in the playoffs is one of the feel-good
stories for head coach Nate McMillan’s squad this NBA campaign.
Guard
Victory Oladipo (23.1 ppg-Leads team, 5.2 rpg, 4.3 apg, 2.3 spg-Leads NBA, 47.7
FG%, 37.1 3-Pt.%), who came over in the trade from the Oklahoma City Thunder,
along with second-year forward Domantas Sabonis (11.6 ppg, 7.7 rpg-Leads team,
51.4 FG%, 35.1 3-Pt.%) played big roles in turning the Pacers from a lottery
team into a playoff team.
Center
Myles Turner (12.7 ppg, 6.4 rpg, 1.8 bpg-3rd NBA, 47.9 FG%, 35.7
3-Pt.%) and forwards Thaddeus Young (11.8 ppg, 6.3 rpg, 1.7 spg, 48.7 FG%) and
Bogan Bogdanovic (14.3 ppg, 47.4 FG%, 40.2 3-Pt.%) performed as well as any
starting front court trio in the league.
The
additions of veteran guards Darren Collison (12.4 ppg, 5.3 apg49.5 FG%, 46.8
3-Pt.%) and Cory Joseph (7.9 ppg, 35.3 3-Pt.%) brought veteran savvy and great
play to the lead guard spot.
Along
with Joseph, reserves Lance Stephenson (9.2 ppg, 5.2 rpg), Al Jefferson, recent
addition Trevor Booker and the late return of Glenn Robinson III from injury
have provided solid play off the bench for the Pacers.
What
really gives the Pacers a chance against the mighty Cavs in this series is the
fact that they were ability to close games as evidenced by their 41-4 mark when
leading after three quarters and an 11-2 mark in games decided by three-points
or less, which includes a 97-95 win versus the Cavs on Jan. 12.
The
Pacers also won three of the four tilts against the Cavs thanks to hitting 46
percent of their three-pointers, making an average of 13.5 per game, while the Cavs
made just 28 percent of their triples, with an average of 9.5 makes.
Even
with those great numbers, the Pacers are dealing with a team that has the great
LeBron James, who still averaged 28.8 points, 10.3 assists, 8.5 rebounds and
2.5 steals against the Pacers this season in the postseason.
For
the as mentioned three-time defending East champion Cavs (50-32), this season
has had more twist and turns than a soap opera from the injuries, to the
overhaul of half their roster at the Feb. 8 trade deadline, to having their
head coach Tyronn Lue missing time because of health issues.
The
one constant for the Cavs this season has been James (27.5 ppg-3rd
NBA, 8.6 rpg, 9.1 apg-2nd NBA, 54.2 FG%, 36.7 3-Pt.%) who in season
No. 15 was out of this world.
In
the Cavs 110-98 loss versus the New York Knicks (29-53) in the regular-season
finale on Wednesday night, James had 10 points in 11 minutes of work scored in
double-figures for the 873rd straight game, adding on to the NBA
record. He also played in all 82 games for the first time in his career, while
logging 3.026 total minutes, which led the league.
His
18 triple-doubles, which were a single-season career-best and second in the
league this regular season were the most by a player in their 15th
season or later. James’ 52 double-doubles in the regular season are the highest
of his career.
Thanks
to James the Cavs won 50 games for the fourth straight season and the 11th
time in franchise history and captured the Central Division for the fourth
straight season and James going back to his time with the Miami Heat won his 10th
straight Division crown, an NBA record.
Things
really changed for the Cavs at the trade deadline back on Feb. 8 when General
Manager Kolby Altman acquired guards Jordan Clarkson (13.9 ppg, 45.1 FG%, 35.2
3-Pt.%) and Larry Nance, Jr. (8.7 ppg, 6.8 rpg, 58.1 FG%) from the Los Angeles
Lakers; Rodney Hood (14.7 ppg, 38.1 3-Pt.%) from the Utah Jazz and veteran
George Hill (10.0 ppg, 46.0 FG%, 41.5 3-Pt.%) from the Sacramento Kings.
The
Cavs finished 19-10 after the trade, which included a 12-4 mark to close the
season. They also went 8-1 without head
coach Tyronn Lue, who took a much needed late-season sabbatical to get a handle
on his health.
He
was absence for nine games and the team under interim head coach Larry Drew
went 8-1 in Lue’s absence.
“I
mean it’s something different every year,” Lue said earlier this week. “You
know, just, ‘As the ‘Land Turns’ is what I call it. Just something every year.
Three or four things every season. We always come together, we always find a
way, and that’s the biggest thing.”
The
one something that has been an issue for the Cavs and what might prevent them
from making it back to The Finals is their play defensively, where they
finished the regular season No. 28 in opponent’s field goal percentage
surrendering 47.4 percent. The Cavs finished 22nd in rebounding
differential at -1.5; 24th in steals at 7.1; and tied for 28th
in block shots at 3.8.
Along
with playing better defense, the Cavs will need to have Kevin Love (17.6 ppg,
9.3 rpg-Leads team 45.8 FG%, 41.5 3-Pt.%), who was shelved for six weeks from
Jan. 31-Mar. 19 with a broken left hand to emerge as the team’s second-best
scorer. They will need Hood, Clarkson, and Hill, will have to emerge as guys
who can make shots, especially three-pointers when James penetrates to the
basket.
Speaking
of Cavs needing to make shots, if the Cavs have any plans on making it back to The Finals
again, they will need JR Smith (8.3 ppg), who has been in a serious shooting
funk all season, making only 40.3 percent of his shots overall, but 37.5 of his
threes to find his stroke like he did in the playoffs two seasons back when the
Cavs won it all.
That
along with the re-emergence of center Tristan Thompson as a rebounder and
interior defender are also a necessity for the Cavs.
The
Pacers will put up a fight in this series, but in the end James and the Cavs
will emerge victorious. James is on a mission to get back to The Finals for his
eighth straight time.
To
put that into context, James would tie former Boston Celtic greats K.C. Jones
and Frank Ramsey with eight appearances in The Finals. Only Sam Jones and Tom
Heinsohn with nine and 10 by the legendary Bill Russell have more.
The
other reason the Pacers should proceed this series with caution is that James is
20-0 in the Quarterfinals the past five seasons, with his Heat and Cavs teams
sweeping those series 4-0 from 2013 to 2017.
Series
Prediction:
Cavaliers in 6 games.
(2)
Boston
Celtics versus (7) Milwaukee Bucks
-Season Series: tied 2-2.
-Season Series: tied 2-2.
This
tilt features one team that features one of the Top 10 players in “The
Association” against a team that will be without its two All-Stars, but has
used defense, three-point shooting and team work to reach this point where they
are still confident they can go far in this postseason.
For
the Celtics (55-27), this has been a season of major resiliency. It began on
opening night in October 2017 where they lost prized free agent in All-Star
Gordon Hayward just minutes into their season with a serious ankle injury.
After
losing their first two games of the season, head coach Brad Stevens teams
responded with 16 straight wins and never looked back from there, clinching a
playoff berth on Mar. 8.
They
C’s lost their other prized new addition in All-Star starting lead guard Kyrie
Irving (24.4 ppg, 5.1 apg, 49.1 FG%, 40.8 3-Pt%) for the postseason due to a
second surgery on his left knee last month. That is on the heels of losing
rookie backup center Daniel Theis to shoulder surgery, and guard Marcus Smart (10.2
ppg, 4.8 apg) is likely out for the opening round with a torn UCL tendon in his
right thumb, that has had him on the shelf since Mar. 11.
What
has kept the Celtics upright entering the playoffs is that they have played well
without their floor general during the regular season going 14-8, including a
6-5 mark against playoff teams. One big reason for that has been the play of
Irving’s understudy Terry Rozier (11.3 ppg, 4.7 rpg, 38.1 3-Pt.%), who averaged
15.6 points, 6.4 rebounds and 5.1 assists in 16 starts.
The
two other things that give the Celtics a serious chance of advancing in the
postseason is their ability to play defense, their ability to make threes, as
well as defend the three-point line and all the players know their roles and
the team will play with effort and energy no matter who is on the floor for
head coach Brad Stevens.
The
young core players that will headline the team in the years to come in the
previously mentioned Rozier, Jaylen Brown (14.5 ppg, 4.9 rpg, 46.5 FG%, 39.5
3-Pt.%), rookie Jayson Tatum (13.9 ppg, 5.0 rpg, 47.5 FG%, 43.4 3-Pt.%) have
grown each game on both ends of the floor.
The
veteran leadership and front court presence of Al Horford (12.9 ppg, 7.4 rpg,
4.7 apg, 48.9 FG%, 42.9 3-Pt.%), Greg Monroe (10.3 ppg, 6.9 rpg, 56.5 FG%) and
Aron Baynes (6.0 ppg, 5.4 rpg, 47.1 FG%) has been invaluable.
The
injuries have also given an opportunity to the likes of Abdel Nader, Shane
Larking, Semi Ojeleye and Guerschon Yabusele and they have made solid
contributions on both ends, especially in recent weeks.
“When
you got guys that care about winning as much as you do, it takes a lot of
weight off your shoulders,” Rozier said about replacing Irving. “We all got the
same goals. We’re not counting ourselves out. So, when you got a lot of guys
that’s doubting if we can win, then it’s a problem but we all have the same
goals, and that makes me feel more comfortable about myself.”
When
you think of the Celtics under Coach Stevens, they as mentioned will play as a
unit; will shoot threes and play defense.
Only
the defending champion Golden State Warriors shot better from distance than the
37.7 percent the C’s shot in the regular season. They were tied with the
Oklahoma City Thunder for 10th in triples attempted at 30.4 and were
tied with the Denver Nuggets in makes at 11.5. The Celtics were one of two
teams with two players in Horford and Tatum in the Top 10 in three-point
percentage amongst individuals.
The
Celtics were as good at defending the three-point line as they led the NBA
surrendering just 33.9 percent to the opposition from distance. This was the 11th
consecutive season the Celtics ranked in the Top 5 in opponent’s three-point
field goal percentage.
The
Celtics finished the regular season second in opponent’s shooting percentage
allowing just 44.0 percent.
“I
just think it’s anytime your holding your ground. Your rebounding with all five
guys. Your back in transition,” Stevens said during a press conference about
what a team playing great defense looks like.
Stevens
added, “That doesn’t change. I think sometimes we get caught up in adjustments
and everything else in playoffs like. It’s the compete level on every play and the
desire to do your job on every play that actually add up.”
The
main objective for the Celtics’ defense against the Bucks (44-38) is to slow
down the “Greek Freak” Giannis Antetokounmpo (26.9 ppg-5th NBA, 10.0
rpg-Leads team, 4.8 apg, 1.5 spg, 52.9 FG%), who averaged 33.5 points, 10.8
rebounds, five assists and 1.8 steals, on 53.2 percent against the Celtics in
the regular season.
He
was one of three players to score at least 40 points against the C’s, where he
had 40 in the Bucks 111-100 loss at the Celtics on Dec. 4, 2017.
As
good as the fifth-year player from Greece has been for the Bucks this season,
the team was just 23-22 before the organization fired head coach Jason Kidd,
replacing him on an interim basis with assistant Joe Prunty, who went a decent
21-16.
One
of the biggest differences between the Bucks and the Celtics is that we know
that the boys from “Beantown” will bring it night-in and night-out on the
hardwood.
For
the Bucks you just do not know for sure. They have a plethora of talented
players in starting lead guard Eric Bledsoe (17.7 ppg, 47.3 FG%, 34.7 3-Pt.%),
who should be averaging more than five assists per game.
Swingman
Khris Middleton (20.1 ppg, 5.2 rpg, 4.0 apg, 46.6 FG%, 35.9 3-Pt.%)), has the
skills to be one of the best two-way players in the business, has shown at
times he can be the second best Buck on the floor, but has not shown it enough
at times.
Starting
center John Henson (8.8 ppg, 6.8 rpg, 57.2 FG%) has shown flashes he could be a
serious presence on both ends, but he really does not have the knack of finding
his own offense and there are times he gets lost defensively.
The
one player who could be a real difference for this team is Jabari Parker (12.6
ppg, 4.9 rpg, 48.2 FG%, 38.3 3-Pt.%), but two serious ACL injuries, especially
his last one set him back where he played just 51 games last season, and just
31 games this regular season.
Parker
in recent games has shown he could be the second banana on offense next to
Antetokounmpo and if he can be anything close to the player that was putting it
all together prior to the injury last season, the Bucks have a chance to win
this series.
What
would also help is if the likes of Tony Snell (6.9 ppg, 40.3 3-Pt.%), Thon
Maker, Shabazz Muhammad (8.5 ppg, w/Bucks in 11 games), last season’s Rookie of
the Year Malcolm Brogdon (13.0ppg, 48.5 FG%, 38.5 3-Pt.%) and his understudy
Matthew Dellavedova and center Tyler Zeller can have the kind of impact at both
ends that the Celtics other players provide consistently.
Other
than the 11-point win by the Celtics at the Bucks as previously mentioned back
in December 2017, the other three games were decided by a total of 23 points.
The Celtics calling card has been their defense and they will have to be at
their best on that end if they want to move forward, especially without Irving.
For
the Bucks, if Antetokonumpo can get some help offensively from his teammates
and they can put the clamps on the C’s offensively, they could win their first
playoff series defeating the Charlotte Hornets in the 2001 Semis 4-3. Those 17
seasons since their last playoff series win is the longest drought currently in
the NBA.
Series
Prediction:
Celtics in 7 games.
(3)
Philadelphia
76ers versus (6) Miami Heat
-Season
Series: tied 2-2.
The
No. 3 versus No. 6 East postseason clash features one finally seeing the fruits
of their so-called rebuild entitled “The Process,” while their opponent is in
the postseason for the 20th time in their 30 seasons of existence
and reached the playoffs after missing out by just one game a season ago.
The
Philadelphia 76ers (52-30) won 50-plus games for the first time since Hall of
Famer Allen Iverson led them to The Finals in 2001, where they lost to
Shaquille O’Neal, Kobe Bryant, and the Lakers 4-1.
Behind
the talented young duo of leading Rookie of the Year candidate Ben Simmons and
dynamic center Joel Embiid, and head coach Brett Brown, the Sixers have shown
that it will not be too long before they become a serious title contender,
perhaps this season.
Behind
a franchise record 16 wins in a row to close the 2017-18 regular season, the
Sixers moved up to the No. 3 slot overtaking the Cavaliers.
The
most impressive thing about the streak is they won the next eight games of it
without Embiid (22.9 ppg-Leads team, 11.0 rpg-T-6th NBA, 1.8 bpg-4th
NBA, 48.3 FG%) who sustained an orbital bone fracture of his left eye.
“I
don’t think I’m ready yet,” Embiid said on Wednesday. “It still doesn’t fell
all the way right.”
“I
want to play but right now I feel like I’m not ready yet.” It’s getting there.
I’ve got to keep working every day. With the way it’s been progressing. I’m
hopeful I’ll be back soon.”
His
absence gave room for Simmons (15.8 ppg, 8.2 apg, 8.1 rpg, 54.5 FG%) to really
blossom, and he will have to continue his fine play as Embiid is out at least
for Game 1 of this series recovering from as previously mentioned from injury.
“We’re
ready to go,” Simmons, whose 12 triple-doubles during the regular season are
the most since the 26 by Hall of Famer Oscar Robertson in 1960-61 said on
Thursday of the Sixers mindset heading into the playoffs. “It’s going to be
fun. It’s a tough team [Heat] to play against, but we got all the pieces.”
Besides
Simmons, the Sixers have gotten and will need to continue getting solid
contributions from Dario Saric (14.6 ppg, 6.7 rpg, 45.3 FG%, 39.3 3-Pt.%), JJ
Redick (17.1 ppg, 46.0 FG%, 42.0 3-Pt.%), Ersan Ilyasova (10.9 ppg, 5.9 rpg,
45.2 FG%, 36.0 3-Pt.%), Robert Covington (12.6 ppg, 5.4 rpg 1.7 spg, 36.9
3-Pt.%), Richaun Holmes (6.5 ppg, 4.4 rpg, 56.0 FG%), TJ McConnell (6.3 ppg,
4.0 apg, 49.9 FG%) Amir Johnson and rookie No. 1 overall pick in 2018 draft Markelle Fultz (7.1 ppg), who in the Sixers 130-95 win versus the Bucks in their regular-season finale on Wednesday night had 13 points, 10 rebounds and 10 assists, become the youngest player in NBA history at 19 years old to register a triple-double.
While
to most fans the Sixers get a lot of attention because of their play at the
offensive end, where five players scored at least a total of 1,000 points
during the regular year from their ability to pass, make three-point shots at a
high clip and that their stars in Simmons and Embiid when he players are out of
this world when it comes to putting the ball in the hole.
What
has gotten the Sixers over the top and into the playoffs has been their play at
the defensive end, where they led the league in field goal percentage allowed
during the regular season, giving up just 43.4 percent and were No. 1 in
rebound differential at +5.2. Their No. 2 in three-point percentage allowed at
33.9; tied with the Knicks and the Jazz for No. 9 in blocks shots at 5.1; and
No. 7 in steals at 8.3.
The
one thing that the Sixers lack entering the playoffs is experience, and where
that might hurt them is if the game is close, especially against their
First-Round opponent in the Heat who grew very accustomed to playing games in
the pressure cooker this season.
The
Sixers during the regular season were tied for the most defeats with seven
after leading by 15 points or more and for the most setbacks with four after
leading by 20 points or more.
To
illustrate this point further, the Heat (44-38) played a league high 53 games
that were within five points in the last five minutes during the season and 27
of their games this season were decided by six points or less.
One
reason the Southeast Division champions played in so many close games is that
they do not have that legitimate All-Star who can close games out offensively.
For
head coach Erik Spoelstra’s team, they handle their business by committee,
beginning with first time All-Star Goran Dragic (17.3 ppg-Leads team, 4.8 apg-Leads
team, 45.0 FG%, 37.0 3-Pt.%); center Hassan Whiteside (14.0 ppg, 11.4 rpg-Leads
team, 1.7 bpg-Leads team, 54.0 FG%); guards Josh Richardson (12.9 ppg, 45.1
FG%, 37.8 3-Pt.%) and Tyler Johnson (11.7 ppg, 36.7 3-Pt%); forward James
Johnson (10.8 ppg, 4.9 rpg, 3.8 apg, 50.3 FG%); forward/center Kelly Olynyk
(11.5 ppg, 5.7 rpg, 49.7 FG%, 37.9 3-Pt.%); sharp shooter Wayne Ellington (10.8
ppg, 39.2 3-Pt.%), who hit 227 threes on the season, a new single-season Heat
record, with an NBA record 218 triples off the bench; and reserves Justise
Winslow (7.8 ppg, 5.4 rpg) and rookie Bam Adebayo (6.9 ppg, 5.5 rpg, 51.2
FG%).
The
Heat while they played in a lot of close games, especially early in the regular
season, they were coming up on the short end of a lot of them.
To
fix that, they acquired Mr. Miami himself in Dwyane Wade (11.4 ppg) to return
the place he called home for 13 seasons at the Feb. 8 trade deadline.
The
return of Wade has been a major help in the Heat’s ability to close games,
especially against the Sixers.
In
the Feb. 27 meeting that the boys from South Florida won 102-101, Wade scored a
season-high 27 points, including 15 of the Heat’s final 17 points to overcome a
10-point deficit in the fourth quarter.
Thirteen
days prior on Valentine’s Day, Wade was not a lucky as his three-pointer at the
horn rimmed out as the Sixers overcame a 23-point halftime deficit to win the
game 104-102.
Simmons
finished with a triple-double of 18 points, 12 rebounds and 10 assists to pace
the Sixers, who outscored the Heat 31-21 in the fourth period.
The
Heat turned the tables on the Sixers in the fourth, outscoring them 35-25 to
win the Mar. 8 tilt in Miami 108-99.
“This
is great competition,” Spoelstra said about the four-game with the Sixers in
the regular season. “We had some crazy games where both teams had big leads, lost
the lead. This is what you want.”
In
a series where it will be tightly contested, it is the little things that will
make the difference.
For
instance, who will guard Simmons? The Heat likely will start off with James
Johnson on him and go from there.
If
Embiid does comes back, can Whiteside contain him, and keep his composure? On
many occasions this season, Whiteside has let his emotions get the better of
him. If he can keep his cool, Whiteside can play a major factor in this series,
with Embiid in the lineup or without.
Series
Prediction:
Sixers in 7 games.
Western
Conference
(1)
Houston
Rockets versus (8) Minnesota Timberwolves
-Season
Series: Rockets won 4-0.
Back
in the opening round of the 1997 NBA Playoffs, a veteran Houston Rocket squad
led by Hall of Famers Hakeem Olajuwon, Clyde Drexler and Charles Barkley faced
the Minnesota Timberwolves, led by future Hall of Famer Kevin Garnett and
Stephon Marbury. The Rockets won that best-of-five series in a 3-0 sweep. In
their second meeting this weekend nearly two decades later a similar theme will
take place where the boys of “Clutch City” are looking to make their first
Finals appearance since 1995, while the boys from the “Twin Cities,” are making
their first playoff appearance in quite some time.
From
the start of this season, the Rockets (65-17) had one goal, earn home court
advantage over the defending NBA champion Golden State Warriors to best
position themselves to win it all in June.
They
took down the champions in their house on opening night, spoiling their ring
ceremony, and it was a sign of things to come.
What
came was the best regular season in franchise history with 65 wins, surpassing
the 58 wins by the 1994 title team of Olajuwon, Otis Thorpe, now TNT studio
analyst Kenny Smith and Vernon Maxwell and head coach Rudy Tomjanovich.
The
Rockets thanks to their fantastic regular season might have another MVP in the
fold in All-Star guard James Harden (30.4 ppg-Leads NBA, 8.8 apg-3rd,
NBA, 5.4 rpg, 1.8 spg-7th NBA, 44.9 FG%, 36.7 3-Pt.%).
The
addition of perennial All-Star Chris Paul (18.6 ppg, 7.9 apg, 5.4 rpg, 1.7 spg,
46.0 FG%, 38.0 3-Pt.%); the emergence of Clint Capela (13.9 ppg, 10.8 rpg-8th
NBA, 1.9 bpg-2nd NBA, 65.2 FG%-Leads NBA) into a serious rim
protector and finisher at the rim has been a great aide the Rockets, who went
42-3 when Paul, Harden and Capela were in the lineup.
The
Rockets in their second season under head coach Mike D’Antoni shattered the
record for three-pointers made in a single-season with 1,256. In fact, they
became the first team in NBA history to attempt more three-pointers (3,470)
than two-point field goals (3,426).
Along
with Harden and Paul, sharp shooters in forwards Ryan Anderson (9.3 ppg, 5.0
rpg, 38.6 3-Pt.%), Trevor Ariza (11.7 ppg, 1.5 spg, 36.8 3-Pt.%), PJ Tucker
(6.1 ppg, 5.6 rpg, 37.0 3-Pt.%) and Gerald Green (12.1 ppg, 36.9 3-Pt.%);
guards Eric Gordon (18.0 ppg, 35.9 3-Pt.%) and Joe Johnson are a big reason the
Rockets were such a prolific three-point shooting team, finishing the regular
season No. 1 in connections at (15.3) and in attempts (42.3), even though they
finished tied with the New Orleans Pelicans in percentage at 36.2.
The
biggest difference in the Rockets this season from a season ago is they
consistently play defense, where they finished tied with the Raptors and
Detroit Pistons in points allowed at 103.9. The Rockets finished sixth in
opponent’s three-point percentage, surrendering just 35.1 percent from
distance; No. 5 in steals at 8.5 and tied with the Memphis Grizzlies for ninth
in forced turnovers at 14.0 during the regular season.
The
toughness, savvy and all out focus that Tucker, Paul, Luc Mbah a Moute (7.5
ppg, 48.1 FG%, 36.4 3-Pt.), and late season addition of veteran Joe Johnson to
go alongside Ariza and Capela have paid of big time for the Rockets at that end
of the floor.
“Whether
it’s [playing against] bad record teams, or guys in or out the lineups, we just
had a mindset all season that this year was going to be special,” Harden said
after the team’s 105-99 win at the Los Angeles Lakers on Tuesday night to NBA
on TNT’s Kristen Ledlow.
Harden
in particular should be extremely motivated for this postseason considering his
last contest in Game 6 of the Semis versus the Spurs he had just 10 points on 2
for 11 shooting in the 114-75 loss on Mar. 11, 2017.
ESPN’s
Brian Windhorst said on the 6 p.m. edition of “Sportscenter” on Thursday that
Harden within a couple of weeks of that six-game loss that ended the Rockets
season he was on the phone with Paul trying to recruit him to join the Rockets.
To
put into context how big of a postseason this is for the shoe in for league
MVP, the Rockets in Harden’s six seasons with the team are 447-240, a .651
winning percentage in the regular season, where he has averaged 23.0 points and
6.1 assists on 36 percent from three-point range.
The
playoffs in contrast in those six seasons, the Rockets are 44-44, right at .500
and Harden has averaged just 20.7 points and 5.2 assists on 34 percent from
distance.
Harden
if he wins league MVP when the NBA has its award show from Los Angeles, CA June
25 on TNT wants to accept that honor after leading the Rockets to The Finals
and not being knocked out early in the postseason.
The
Rockets First-Round opponent the Minnesota Timberwolves (47-35) are making
their first playoff appearance, ending the second longest postseason drought in
league history at 13.
It
took a 112-106 overtime win on the Wednesday night versus the Denver Nuggets
(46-36), the final night of the regular season to earn their ticket to the
playoffs.
All-Star
forward Jimmy Butler (22.2 ppg-Leads team, 5.3 rpg, 4.9 apg, 47.4 FG%, 35.0
3-Pt%) led the way with 31 points, five boards and five assists. First time
All-Star Karl-Anthony Towns (21.3 ppg, 12.3 rpg-4th NBA, 54.5 FG%,
42.1 3-Pt.%) had his league-leading 68th double-double of the season
with 26 points and 14 rebounds, while Andrew Wiggins (17.7 ppg) had 18 points,
including two clutch free throws in overtime to seal the win. Starting lead
guard Jeff Teague (14.2 ppg, 7.0 apg-Leads team, 1.5 spg, 44.6 FG%, 36.8
3-Pt.%) had 17 points and seven assists.
“The
fans wanted their playoff chance and I’m glad we gave it to them tonight,”
Towns said to NBATV via arena link after the win.
“I
remember when I got drafted I made a promise to ‘Flip’ [Saunders] that I would
do everything in my power to bring this town, this state, this organization end
the playoff drought, and I’m fortunate and blessed with the teammates I have
here and the great organization here that I’m able to do that.”
Their
reward is the Rockets who dominated the Timberwolves in their four meetings in
the regular season.
In
their first meeting on Jan. 18, the Rockets won 116-98 behind the 30 points of
Gordon. The Rockets shot 17 for 39 from three-point range.
Despite
35 points and 12 rebounds from center Karl-Anthony Towns, the Rockets won the
second meeting in Minneapolis, MN 126-108 with Harden leading the way with 34
points and 13 assists. Head coach Tom Thibodeau’s team gave up 22 threes in 47
tries to the Rockets on that night, while the T’Wolves were just 6 for 23 from
long distance.
In
their third tilt 10 days later back in Texas, Harden had 31 points and nine
assists as the Rockets won again 120-102, behind 14 for 38 shooting from
three-point range and holding the T’Wolves to 42.6 percent shooting.
This
was also the night that All-Star forward Jimmy Butler, the team’s prized
acquisition during the off-season injured his knee that required surgery. He
missed 15 games and the T’Wolves went 6-9 in his absence, which put them in the
position where they had to win on Wednesday night to make the playoffs.
While
the fourth game on Mar. 18 seemed close in the final count, the Rockets dominated
the T’Wolves on their home floor 38-23 after the first quarter and won the game
129-120. Harden had a game-high 34 points with 12 assists. While the home team
shot 52.6 percent on the evening from the field, outscoring the Rockets 62-46
in the paint, and out-rebounded them 51-40, including 14-8 on the offensive
glass, the Rockets still shot 55.1 percent and went 16 for 35 from three-point
range.
When
the injury to Butler happened, the objectives of the T’Wolves was to just get
into the playoffs, which they did accomplish.
That
win on Wednesday night though was more than just ending the longest current
playoff drought in the NBA. It was the fulfillment of a promise made by Towns
when he was drafted in 2015, and just two months after that promise was made,
Saunders was diagnosed with Hodgins Lymphoma. Four months later, the last coach
to take the T’Wolves to the playoffs passed away.
In
that time from the team’s last playoff appearance in 2004 led by Saunders,
future Hall of Famer Kevin Garnett, Sam Cassell and Latrell Sprewell, and players
have come and gone from the team, coaches have come and gone from the team. Promised
of better days have been made and then broken.
The
only thing that the was broken on Wednesday night at the Target Center in
Minneapolis, MN were the hearts of the Nuggets and it was the Timberwolves led
by Towns fulfilled a promise of getting back to the postseason.
Their
chances of winning this series against the Rockets is very slim, especially
since Harden and Paul, who has never made it to the Conference Finals is on a
mission to make not just there but The Finals, and hopefully he and Harden can
lead them to the team’s first Larry O’Brien trophy since 1995.
Series
Prediction:
Rockets in four games.
(4)
Oklahoma City Thunder versus (5) Utah Jazz
-Season Series: Thunder won 3-1.
-Season Series: Thunder won 3-1.
In
one off-season one team went from a fringe playoff team into an instant
contender with two key acquisitions. Unfortunately, that said team with the
latest All-Star trio won just one more game then they did a season ago. Another
team lost their best player in free agency, and everyone thought they were
lottery bound before the season even started. That team went from a lottery
team to home court advantage as the 2018 NBA Playoffs commence. They will meet
to decide which story will continue.
For
the second straight season, Oklahoma City Thunder All-Star lead guard Russell
Westbrook (25.4 ppg, 10.3 apg, 10.1 rpg,, 1.8 spg-5th NBA, 44.9 FG%)
became the first player in NBA history to average a triple-double in
back-to-back seasons.
However,
the reigning Kia MVP more than likely will not finish in the Top 5 in voting
this season, meaning a guy who plays with as big a chip on his shoulder than
anyone in the league goes into this postseason ready to make a serious point
with fellow All-Stars Paul George (21.9 ppg, 5.7 rpg, 2.0 spg-2nd
NBA, 40.1 3-Pt.%) and Carmelo Anthony (16.2 ppg, 5.8 rpg, 35.7 3-Pt.%).
As
important as the play of George and Anthony will be, how Westbrook plays may
determine if the Thunder can get past a good Utah Jazz team, which will have
its trademark defense ready against Westbrook.
To
put how the head coach Billy Donovan’s unit has performed when Westbrook has
played well or not into context, they are 20-5 when he has registered a triple-double
this season, where he led the league with 25. They are 20-2 when he attempts 18
field goals or less. They went 27-31 when Westbrook has attempted 18 shots or
more. When he has taken seven or more three-pointers, the Thunder were just
3-12. They went 44-21 when Westbrook shot six or fewer triples in the regular
season.
For
the Thunder to win this series, and possibly make it to the Conference Finals,
it just cannot be Westbrook alone.
They
need production from George and Anthony. They also need great play from
starting center Steven Adams (13.9 ppg, 9.0 rpg, 62.9 FG%-4th NBA),
reserve forwards Jerami Grant (8.4 ppg, 3.9 rpg, 53.5 FG%) and guards Raymond
Felton (6.9 ppg, 35.4 3-Pt.%), Alex Abrines and Terrance Ferguson and forward
Patrick Patterson.
The
one constant for the Thunder this season has been their play at the defensive
end, where they finished No. 10 in points allowed at 104.4; tied the Denver
Nuggets for No. 2 in rebound differential at +2.9 and; No. 1 in steals at 9.1, forced
turnovers at 15.1 and offensive rebounds per game at 12.5.
If
the Thunder however cannot get things together offensively, where they were
just 13-15 in games decided by five points or less during the regular season,
how well they play defense will not matter.
If
the Thunder need an example of what true teamwork is on both ends of the floor,
they can just look at their opponent in this series, who went from being on the
outside of the playoff picture to a team that can make some noise this
postseason.
Back
in the summer, the Utah Jazz (48-34) lost All-Star Gordon Hayward and starting
lead guard George Hill in free agency, and then traded away Joe Johnson.
After
a 104-92 loss to the draft lottery bound Hawks on Jan. 22 put the Jazz at 19-28
and put any dreams of making the playoffs almost beyond reach in the eyes of
many.
Only
the 32-5 mark by the Rockets was better than the 29-6 mark of the Jazz to close
the season, which included a 15-2 mark on the road and they went from the
outside of the playoffs to the No. 3 Seed in the rough and tough Western
Conference. A loss on the final night of the regular season at the Portland
Trail Blazers 102-93 on Wednesday night dropped them to the No. 5 spot.
Three
players responsible for the Jazz rising out of the cellar of the West are
rookie Donovan Mitchell (20.5 ppg-Leads team, 1.5 spg, 3.7 apg, 3.7 rpg, 43.7
FG%, 34.0 3-Pt.%), center Rudy Gobert (13.5 ppg, 10.7 rpg-Leads team, 2.3
bpg-Leads team, 62.2 FG%) and lead guard Ricky Rubio (13.1 ppg 5.3 apg-Leads
team, 4.6 rpg, 1.6 spg-Leads team, 35.2 3-Pt.%).
In
the early part of this season when the Thunder won three of the four meetings
against the Jazz, all coming before Dec. 23, 2017, Mitchell, the No. 13 overall
pick out of Louisville, whose draft rights were acquired by the Jazz was still
just introducing himself to the league.
He
eventually played his way into being the Jazz top gun at the offensive end, and
led all rookies in not just scoring average, but had 27 games in the regular
season where he scored 25 points or more. His 187 connections from three-point
range set a new single-season NBA record for a rookie, surpassing the 185 by
Trail Blazers All-Star guard Damian Lillard had in the 2012-13 campaign.
His
great season put him in the conversation for Rookie of the Year, which at one-point
Sixers sensation Ben Simmons was going to run away with it early on in the
season.
Whether
he wins Rookie of the Year or not, one thing that Mitchell has done is ease the
pain of the team as mentioned losing Hayward.
“That
point in time we didn’t know the fate of whether Gordon was going to leave or
stay. Gordon did leave, and that kind of changed the dynamic of our team,”
Mitchell said. “I just stepped up and filled the void anyway that I could.”
“Whether
it’s a 40-point game or a game where I score two points, there’s something to
learn from every game, and I think just being coached and be able to learn I think
definitely helped me with the success that I’ve been having.”
When
the Jazz acquired Rubio from the Timberwolves in the off-season, they brought
in a guy who can defend and run a team at the lead guard spot as good as any
floor general in the league. His biggest issue was his ability to strike a
match from the perimeter.
Rubio
really developed his shot this season, especially from three-point range where
he had several games where he knocked down three, four and on a couple of
occasions five to six triples.
That
new dimension of knocking down threes added a new identity to for a Jazz team
that has cut its teeth under head coach Quin Snyder at the defensive end, led
by the league’s best rim protector in Gobert, who stellar play after coming
back from two stints on the shelf because of a knee injury to be a leading
candidate for Defensive Player of the Year.
Before
the All-Star break, the tall Frenchmen was averaging 12.5 points and 10.1
rebounds. In the unofficial second half of the regular season, Gobert rose
those averages to 15.0 points and 11.5 boards.
The
Jazz behind that rim protection of Gobert finished the regular season tied with
the Sixers for ninth in blocks shots per game (5.1); tied with the Spurs in points
allowed at 99.8; tied with the Raptors for fourth in opponent’s field goal
percentage at 44.9; tied with the Spurs for No. 7 in rebound differential at
+1.7; fourth in steals (8.6) and tied with the T’Wolves for fifth in forced
turnovers at 14.5.
One
big difference between the Thunder and the Jazz entering this series that the
role players for the boys of Salt Lake City, UT were as much a part of the
team’s success in the second half of the season.
Starting
forward Derrick Favors (12.3 ppg, 7.2 rpg, 56.3 FG%) was finally healthy and
was a solid sidekick in the frontcourt alongside Gobert.
Swingman
Joe Ingles (11.5 ppg, 4.8 apg, 46.7 FG%, 44.0 3-Pt.%-T-4th NBA) ability
to make threes, to play make for his teammates and the grit and focus he
brought on both ends was worth its weight in gold.
The
acquisition of forward Jae Crowder (9.7 ppg) at the Feb. 8 trade deadline gave
the Jazz another shooter and defender on the perimeter off the bench, which really
complimented the likes of sharp shooting forward Jonas Jerebko, rookie swingman
Royce O’Neale and guards Alec Burks (7.7 ppg) and Dante Exum (8.1 ppg, 3.1 apg,
48.3 FG%).
In
as evenly a matched series as there is in this season’s opening round of the
NBA Playoffs, the Thunder have more to lose than the Jazz, who season is a
major success by just being in this position.
The
Thunder came into this season with the expectation of challenging for a
championship and if they fall in the opening round, they could be sending
George off likely to the Lakers as he is an unrestricted free agent at season’s
end. Anthony could opt out of the final year of his deal to test the free agent
market.
If
Westbrook had any incentive to bring a balance to his game during the playoffs,
it is now because if he does not, he will be right back at square one with him
being the lone star that puts up great numbers but does not win when it matters
most.
If
Westbrook can play anything like he did in the regular-season finale, a 137-123
win versus the Memphis Grizzlies (22-60) on Wednesday night where he had just
six points, but a career-high 20 rebounds and 19 assists, the Thunder will be
in great shape. You can mark it in that he will have more than six points and
won’t go 2 for 9 shooting like he did on that night.
Series
Prediction:
Thunder in 7 games.
(2)
Golden State Warriors versus (7) San Antonio
Spurs
-Season Series: Warriors won 3-1.
-Season Series: Warriors won 3-1.
This
series between the defending NBA champions versus the five-time champs would
have the makings of one of the most intriguing No. 2 versus No. 7
confrontations in the history of the NBA Playoffs. But that All-Star player and
two-time Defensive Player of the Year is very unlikely to appear, even though
he has not been ruled out of a series, where the defending champs are without
their top player but still have three All-Stars available.
For
the Pacific Division champions, the Golden State Warriors (58-24), this will be
the first time in four seasons under head coach Steve Kerr they will not be the
No. 1 Seed in the Western Conference playoffs.
They
enter defense of their title not on the best of footings having lost 10 of
their final 17 games where they were a shell of themselves on both ends of the
court. On top of that, they will start the playoffs without All-Star lead guard
Stephen Curry (26.4 ppg, 6.1 apg, 5.1 rpg, 1.6 spg-Leads team, 49.5 FG%, 42.3
3-Pt.%), who has been on the shelf because of Grade 2 MCL sprain in his left
knee.
How
valuable is the two-time MVP to them this season, the Warriors were just 17-14
without him and according to Coach Kerr, Curry will not play at all during the
opening round. He averaged 31.5 points in the Warriors sweep of the Spurs in
the Conference Finals a season ago on route to their second title in the last
three seasons.
Even
without Curry, who is due for a re-examination of his knee this weekend, the
Warriors still have All-Stars Klay Thompson (20.0 ppg, 48.8 FG%, 44.0
3-Pt%-T-4th NBA), Kevin Durant (26.4 ppg-6th NBA, 6.8 rpg, 5.4 apg,
1.8 bpg-5th NBA, 51.6 FG%, 41.9 3-Pt%), and Draymond Green (11.0
ppg, 7.6 rpg-Leads team, 7.3 apg-Leads team, 45.4 FG%) to lead them, and they
seemed recovered from the bumps and
bruises they had during the regular season and are ready for hopefully another
run towards back-to-back titles.
“This
has been such a chaotic month with all the injuries and meaningless games,” he
said. “We’ve been frustrated. We haven’t performed very well. But the good news
is we have performed well for four years. We know who we are and what we’re
about.”
That
is the same approach the San Antonio Spurs, who saw their 18-year run of
winning 50-plus games end with their 47-35 record in this past regular season,
and for the first time since 1996-97 had a losing record on the road at 14-27.
One
big reason for that drop off in wins is because All-Star Kawhi Leonard played
in all but nine games this season due to tendinopathy in his right quadricep.
Like
the Warriors, the Spurs enter the 2018 postseason losers of five of their final
nine games, which includes their 122-98 setback at the Pelicans in their
regular-season finale on Wednesday night, that dropped them to the No. 7 position
and earned them a matchup with the team that went 16-1 in the 2017 postseason.
Even
without Leonard, who has not been ruled out from the postseason, head coach
Gregg Popovich’s squad brings into this matchup and healthy and focused
All-Star in LaMarcus Aldridge (23.1 ppg-Leads team, 8.5 rpg-Leads team, 51.0
FG%), whose more than eager to have a better showing against the Warriors than
the dismal performance he had in the Conference Finals a season ago, where he averaged 15.5 points in the four-game sweep.
Along
with Aldridge, the Spurs feature two of the greatest winners in NBA postseason
history in Manu Ginobili (8.9 ppg) and Tony Parker (7.7 ppg, 3.5 apg, 45.9 FG%),
who combined for 131 playoffs wins.
“We
have got to play above where we have been playing. We really have to improve in
many ways,” Ginobili said about what it will take to have a chance this
postseason. “Hopefully, we do that, and we raise our game to the next level.”
The
one other constant that both these teams have had in their championships
seasons beside the greatness from their stars has been the play of their role
players.
If
the Warriors want to end this series quickly, the likes of Andre Iguodala,
Shaun Livingston, ZaZa Pachulia, rookie Jordan Bell, Quinn Cook, who has been
starting in place of Curry, Nick Young, JaVale McGee, Patrick McCaw, and David
West have to perform.
That
is how the defending champions ranked No. 1 in the NBA during the regular
season in points per game (113.5); assists per game (29.3); field goal
percentage (50.3) and three-point percentage (39.1).
Three
of the Warriors eight games that they had 30 or more assists came against the
Spurs during their four regular-season tilts.
If
the Spurs want to make this a series, they need Rudy Gay (11.5 ppg, 5.1 rpg,
47.1 FG%), Patty Mills (10.0 ppg, 37.2 3-Pt.%), Danny Green (8.6 ppg, 36.3
3-Pt.%), Dejounte Murray (8.1 ppg, 5.7 rpg), Kyle Anderson (7.9 ppg, 5.4 rpg,
52.7 FG%), Bryn Forbes (6.9 ppg, 39.0 3-Pt.%) and Pau Gasol (10.1 ppg, 8.0 rpg,
45.8 FG%, 35.8 3-Pt.%) to play well on both ends.
They
will also need to play the kind of defense where they were No. 1 in points
allowed (99.8); that was No. 6 in opponent’s field goal percentage at (45.3);
fourth in opponent’s three-point percentage (34.8); and fourth in block shots
(5.6).
In
their four regular-season matchups against the Warriors, Curry, Durant, and
Thompson shot 23 for 42 from three-point range (55 percent), but the rest of
the team shot just 14 for 62 from distance (23 percent).
The
Spurs have a serious chance in the series, they will also need to get off to a
strong start in each contest. In three of the four games against the Warriors,
they won the first quarter by nine or 10 points. The boys from the “Alamo City”
overall were a +21 in the opening period, but the defending champs were a +48
over the final three quarters in the four matchups.
As
good as the Warriors offense has been, especially this season, they are just as
good themselves defensively, ranking No. 3 in opponent’s field goal percentage
(44.7); tied with the Raptors for No. 9 in opponent’s three-point percentage
(35.7); No. 1 in block shots (7.5) and tied with the New Orleans Pelicans for
eighth in steals (8.0).
The
Spurs will be prepared to compete and will give the Warriors all they can
handle, and that still might not be enough to slow down a team that feels
geared up for the chase for back-to-back titles.
Series
Prediction:
Warriors in 5 games.
(3)
Portland
Trail Blazers versus (6) New Orleans Pelicans
-Season Series: tied 2-2.
-Season Series: tied 2-2.
I
remember NBA on TNT studio analyst Kenny Smith saying that for all players that
want to make names for themselves in the NBA, “The regular season is where you
make your name. The Playoffs is where you make your fame.” That is where the
stars of this series find themselves entering the 2018 postseason. The All-Star
lead guard of boys of “Rip City” and the All-Star forward/center of the boys
from “The Big Easy” have made a solid name in the regular season. They feel
that this postseason is where they want to etch their names as players who can
get it done and lead their respective teams to the top.
Two
years ago, the Portland Trail Blazers (49-33) reached the Semis by taking down
the Los Angeles Clippers in six games, thanks to injuries sustained by
All-Stars Chris Paul and Blake Griffin to injuries.
This
time around, head coach Terry Stotts squad faces the New Orleans Pelicans who
are without All-Star center DeMarcus Cousins.
The
team brings virtually the same squad from that 2016 but consists of a more
motivated Damian Lillard (26.9 ppg-5th NBA, 6.6 apg-Leads team, 4.5
rpg, 36.1 3-Pt.%), whose post 28.6 scoring average with 6.6 assists since the
All-Star break will get him some votes for Kia MVP.
That
being said and Coach Stotts are is more focused on getting the Northwest
Division Champion Trail Blazers passed a Pelicans team that they split four
games with in the regular season. Stotts did say though that winning their
division is something they should be proud of but should also fuel them going
into the postseason.
“Like
I told the team, winning the division is a big deal,” Stotts, whose team
clinched the No. Spot in the West with a 102-93 win versus the Jazz in their
regular-season finale on Wednesday night on ESPN said. “It’s always going to be
there. It’s always going to be in the rafters, the banner will be in the
practice [facility].
It’s
been an up-and-down season, but I’m really pleased with the way we played
tonight. We played well, and we have some momentum going into the playoffs.”
Lillard,
who had 36 points and 10 assists echoed those same sentiments to NBC Sports Northwest’s
Brooke Olzendam after the win saying in the postgame interview, “I think we got
a pretty good chance. I think we did ourselves a huge favor by locking down
home court. Playing in front of the best fans in the league. So, hopefully we
can start off right.”
Besides
having Lillard, the Trail Blazers have another great offensive guard in CJ
McCollum (21.4 ppg, 39.7 3-Pt.%) who continues to get better and better and is
a great compliment to Lillard.
Even
with that dynamic backcourt, the Trail Blazers reached the heights they did
because of their commitment to playing better defense, where they finished the
regular season fifth in points allowed (103.0); tied with the Warriors for No.
4 in opponent’s field goal percentage (44.7); and No. 4 in rebound differential
(+2.6).
While
they may not be household names when it comes to scoring consistently, the
likes of forwards Al-Farouq Aminu (9.3 ppg, 7.6 rpg, 36.9 3-Pt.%), Maurice
Harkless (6.5 ppg, 49.5 FG%, 41.5 3-Pt.%) and Ed Davis (5.3 ppg, 7.4 rpg, 58.2
FG%) Evan Turner (8.2 ppg, 44.7 FG%) and guards Pat Connaughton, Shabazz Napier
(8.7 ppg, 37.6 3-Pt.%) and rookie center Zach Collins do their part on both
ends of the court.
The
wild card for this team, who will have to play big in this series if the Trail
Blazers plan on advancing is starting center Jusuf Nurkic (14.3 ppg, 9.0
rpg-Leads team, 50.5 FG%).
When
he was acquired from the Nuggets a season ago, the “Bosnian Beast” had a huge
impact, giving the team a low-post presents to compliment Lillard and McCollum
as well as a consistent rebounder and an occasional shot blocker.
He
unfortunately got hurt right before the postseason a year ago, and only played
one game in the four-game sweep at the hands of the eventual champion Warriors.
If
Nurkic can play to the level of the 14.5 points and 12 boards that he averaged
the last two months of the regular season, that should give the Trail Blazers
the edge over the Pelicans.
Speaking
of the Pelicans (48-34), they enter the playoffs for the first since 2015
having earned the third most wins in franchise history.
There
were many that thought they would not be in this position after All-Star center
DeMarcus Cousins (25.2 ppg, 12.9 rpg-Leads team, 1.6 spg-Leads team, 1.6 bpg,
47.0 FG%, 35.4 3-Pt.%) was lost for the rest of the season after tearing his
Achilles tendon in the Pelicans 115-113 win versus the Rockets on Jan. 26.
Behind
averages of 30.2 points, 11.9 rebounds, 3.2 blocks and 2.1 steals by All-Star
forward/center Anthony Davis (28.1 ppg-2nd NBA, 11.1 rpg-5th
NBA, 2.6 bpg-Leads NBA, 53.4 FG%) since Jan. 28, the Pelicans finished the
regular season 21-13.
“It’s
been a good year so far for the New Orleans fans and we want to make sure to go
and make noise,” Davis said to FOX Sports New Orleans’ Jennifer Hale after the
Pelicans 122-98 win versus the Spurs on Wednesday night.
When
they lost Cousins, head coach Alvin Gentry’s team changed how they played going
from a slowdown pace where they pounded the ball inside to Cousins and Davis,
to more of an up-tempo attack at the offensive end.
Leading
the attack was veteran guard Rajon Rondo (8.3 ppg, 8.2 apg-4th NBA,
46.8 FG%) and his running mate Jrue Holiday, was moved off the ball and emerged
as the team’s second scorer with career-highs of 19.0 points on 49.4 percent
from the floor, with six assists and 1.5 steals per game.
Another
key part of the Pelicans drive to the postseason has been forward Nikola
Mirotic (15.6 ppg, 7.4 rpg, 44.7 FG%, 37.7 3-Pt%), who has fit in like a glove
since being acquired from the Chicago Bulls before the trade deadline. His
perimeter shooting and rebounding complimented Davis well and provided another
scoring threat for the Pelicans.
Lillard
and Davis have accomplished a great deal in the early stages of their
basketball careers and seem to be just scratching the surface of what they will
be in the future. Both players though see this postseason as mentioned earlier
an opportunity to rise themselves and their respective teams into ones that can
one day be in the conversation of championship contender.
At
first glance, the Trail Blazers seem to have the early advantage having home
court advantage, the deeper team along with a true compliment to Lillard in
McCollum.
For
the Pelicans to pull the upset, besides Davis putting up numbers like he had to
close the regular season, they will need Mirotic, to score well, shoot the ball
consistently, and rebound. Holiday will have to not only score but contain
McCollum. Rondo will have to bring all his veteran savvy and knowledge on both
ends to not only run the team, but to as well slow down Lillard.
The
Pelicans in the regular season did have success in slowing down the Trail
Blazers guards as Lillard and McCollum. Even though they averaged 26.5 and 17.5
respectably, they only shot 42.7 and 35.1 from the floor respectably.
The
Pelicans will also need solid production from the likes of E’Twaun Moore (12.5
ppg, 50.8 FG%, 42.5 3-Pt%), Darius Miller (7.8 ppg, 41.4 3-Pt.%), Ian Clark
(7.4 ppg, 44.8 FG%), Solomon Hill and Cheick Diallo to match the supporting
cast of the Trail Blazers.
Series
Prediction:
Trail Blazers in 7 games.
Information,
statistics, and quotations are courtesy of 4/11/18 10:30 p.m. Utah Jazz versus
Portland Trail Blazers on ESPN with Dave Pasch and Mark Jackson; 4/12/18 and 4/13/18 3 p.m. edition of “NBA:
The Jump,” fueled by Marathon with Rachel Nichols, Brian Windhorst, and Tracy
McGrady 4/12/18 6 p.m. edition of ESPN’s “Sportscenter” with Elle Duncan and
Michael Eaves; 4/12/18 8 p.m. NBATV’s “Eastern Conference Playoff Preview” for
2018 with Matt Winer, Steve Smith, Sam Mitchell, and Howard Beck of Bleach
Report; 4/12/18 9 p.m. NBATV’s “Western Conference Playoff Preview” for 2018
with Jared Greenberg, Steve Smith, Sam Mitchell and Howard Beck of Bleacher Report;
4/12/18 2 a.m. edition of NBATV’s “Gametime,” presented by Kia with Casey
Stern, Dennis Scott and David Griffin; www.nba.com;
4/13/18 7 p.m. edition of NBATV’s “10 Before Tip: 2018 Playoff Preview,” presented
by AT&T with Jared Greenberg, Sekou Smith and Howard Beck of Bleacher
Report; 4/13/18 8:30 p.m. edition of NBATV’s “The Starters: The Playoff Preview,”
presented by Jack Daniel’s Tennessee Honey with Tas Melas, J.E. Skeets, Leigh
Ellis and Trey Kerby; www.nba.com playoff
preview by Shaun Powell, John Schuhmann, Sekou Smith and Steve Aschburner; www.espn.com/nba/standings/statistics/teams;
https://en.m.wikpedia.org/wiki/List_of_Houston_Rockets_seasons;
https://en.m.wikpedia.org/wiki/List_of_Toronto_Raptors_seasons.
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