The
2016-17 National Basketball Association (NBA) Campaign was one of the very best
regular seasons in a long time. An NBA record 13 players averaged 25 points or
more. There 116 triple-doubles recorded, with a single-season record 42 of them
coming from the lead guard of the Oklahoma City Thunder and another 22 coming
from a former teammate of his, who is also a leading candidate for MVP. The No.
3 Seed in the West made a single-season record 1,181 three-pointers this season
and the Top two teams in the West combined for 128 wins. Now with the regular
season in the rearview mirror, the NBA’s second season, the 2017 Playoffs begin
this weekend. Here is a preview and predictions of all eight Quarterfinal
matchups.
Abbreviation
Key:
ppg: points per game; rpg: rebounds per game; spg: steals per game; bpg: blocks
per game; FG%: field goal percentage; 3-Pt.%: three-point percentage; FT%: free
throw percentage; T-tied.
Eastern Conference
(1) Boston Celtics versus (8) Chicago
Bulls
-Season
series tied 2-2.
Eight
years ago, the then defending NBA champion Boston Celtics and the Chicago Bulls
met in what became one of the most epic Quarterfinal series in NBA playoff
history that featured four games went to overtime and a total of seven overtimes
took place. The C’s won the series in seven games. The two teams in a familiar
scenario meet again in the opening round for the fifth time.
While
the Celtics, who have defeated the Bulls the prior four times they met in the playoffs are in a familiar territory as the No. 1 for the first time since
they won their 17th title in 2008, thanks to a 112-94 win in their
final game of the season versus the Milwaukee Bucks on Wednesday night, the
boys from “Beantown” are the young up and comers with a rising star, and the
Bulls are the ones with three top players that have been playoff tested.
The
Celtics reached the No. 1 Seed for the first time since their last title season
in 2008, thanks to the continued emergence of their two-time All-Star lead
guard Isaiah Thomas, whose 28.9 scoring average was not just No. 3 in the
league this regular season, only Hall of Famer and three-time NBA champion with
the C’s Larry Bird had a better average of 29.9 points in the 1987-88 campaign.
Thomas
also had career-highs in field-goal percentage (46.3); free-throw percentage
(90.9) three-point percentage at (37.9); averaged 5.9 assists and led the NBA
in scoring average in the fourth quarter at 9.7.
To
put an even better perspective on what the 60th and final pick in
the 2011 draft did in the regular season, he had 43 straight games of scoring
20 points or more, beating the record set by Hall of Famer John Havlicek at 42
and he had 73 games where he registered 20 points or more total.
Unlike
the past two seasons, there is pressure on the Atlantic Division champion
Celtics and Coach of the Year candidate in Brad Stevens to make some noise in
the playoffs having clinched the top seed in the East, and doing so with the
least number of total wins for a top seed in a Conference in a decade.
This
time around though, he has center Al Horford (14.0 ppg, 6.8 rpg, 5.0
apg-career-high, 47.3 FG%, 35.5 3-Pt.%) to hopefully provide a consistent
scoring presence in the paint and guard Avery Bradley (16.3 ppg, 6.1 rpg, 46.3
FG%, 39.0 3-Pt.%), who missed the playoffs a season ago because of injury and
missed 27 games because of injury/illness this season, but to provide perimeter
scoring and tough defense.
“I’ve
never been a No. 1 Seed. So, it’s definitely something that I’m excited about,
but once you get into the playoffs, the seeding kind goes out the window,”
Thomas, who had 13 points and eight assists versus the Bucks said to reporters
after the game. “You got to take care of business and be locked in from the
jump.”
That task will be tough for Thomas as it was revealed that his 22-year-old sister Chyna Thomas was killed in a one car crash in his hometown of Washington State early Saturday morning.
According to a police report, Chyna passed away at the scene of the accident after her car slid off the highway and struck a pole at around 5 a.m. The report also said that she was not wearing a seat belt.
"We are terribly saddened by the tragic loss of Chyna Thomas. The thoughts and prayers of the entire Celtics organization are with Isaiah and his family."
All indications from the Celtics as it was reported by A. Sherrod Blakely of Comcast SportsNet New England that Thomas will play in Game 1 of the series on Sunday night at 6:30 p.m. on TNT.
That task will be tough for Thomas as it was revealed that his 22-year-old sister Chyna Thomas was killed in a one car crash in his hometown of Washington State early Saturday morning.
According to a police report, Chyna passed away at the scene of the accident after her car slid off the highway and struck a pole at around 5 a.m. The report also said that she was not wearing a seat belt.
"We are terribly saddened by the tragic loss of Chyna Thomas. The thoughts and prayers of the entire Celtics organization are with Isaiah and his family."
All indications from the Celtics as it was reported by A. Sherrod Blakely of Comcast SportsNet New England that Thomas will play in Game 1 of the series on Sunday night at 6:30 p.m. on TNT.
Their
opponent the Chicago Bulls have dealt with a lot both on the court and in the locker,
room this season.
The
team of three-time NBA champion Dwyane Wade (18.3 ppg, 4.5 rpg, 3.8 apg), a
Chicago native, and fellow All-Stars Rajon Rondo (7.8 ppg, 6.7 apg-Led team,
5.1 rpg) and Jimmy Butler (23.9 ppg-Led team, 6.2 apg, 5.5 rpg, 1.9 spg-5th
NBA, 45.5 FG%, 36.7 3-Pt.%), the thought was that the Bulls could pose a threat
to the Cavs in the East.
The
Bulls instead were plagued by inconsistent play. The in ability of their young
players to raise their level of play to match the three All-Stars and that the
front office and head coach Fred Hoiberg were not on the same page for a lot of
this season.
When
the team traded veteran forward Taj Gibson and sharp shooter Doug McDermott at
the trade deadline, it seemed like the Bulls were giving up on the season and
an elbow injury to Wade in the Bulls 98-91 loss versus the Memphis Grizzlies on
Mar. 15 seemed to end his season.
The
Bulls managed to go 7-4 without Wade and put themselves I a positon to make the
postseason. Wade did comeback and the Bulls managed to outlast the Miami Heat
(41-41) by winning their final two games of the season by an average of 43
points to garner the No. 8 and final playoff spot.
What
gives the Bulls confidence in this series is the fact that they won both their
home tilts versus the Celtics this season (105-99 on Oct. 27, 2016; 104-103 on
Feb. 16) and outside from a 100-80 setback to them on Mar. 12, the first three
contest were decided by a total of 14 points.
The
Bulls are good in one area where the C’s are not, rebounding. They are ranked
No. 3 in the league in rebound differential at a +3.1 in the regular season.
They were tied for first in the NBA in offensive rebounds per game at 12.2;
averaged 15.0 offensive boards against the Celtics during the regular season,
and they led the NBA in second chance points per contest at 15.
The
Celtics ranked 27 in rebounds differential at -2.5, but in their two home wins
this season versus the Bulls, the C’s kept up with the Bulls on the glass with
both squads totaling 25 second chance points.
In
their 100-80 victory in Boston, MA on Mar. 12, the Celtics were a plus-10
(56-46) on the boards and they were even on offensive boards at 12.
The
trio of Wade, Rondo and Butler having played 166, 94 and 32 playoff games
respectably and know what this time of the year means and the challenge that
stands before them in the Celtics.
“That’s
a very good team over there. There very well coached. They know how to play the
game,” Wade, who was 102-64 in the postseason with the Heat said on Wednesday.
“The
four games we played them, it was some good things that happened there. So, our
guys are going to have confidence.”
“We’ve
played very well in games versus the best teams this year and we have
confidence and our young guys have confidence going into that. We look at it
like it’s Boston versus Chicago and we got to go in there and try to win some
games and try to come out of this series and move to the next one.”
This
series comes down to can the Bulls contain Thomas, who last season’s opening
round versus the Hawks totaled 75 points, on just 24 for 72 (33.3 percent) from
the floor, including 6 for 28 from three-point range (21.4 percent)?
That
task, will go to Rondo, who will be trying to stick it to his old team, Jerian
Grant, and Michael Carter-Williams.
Will
the likes of Jae Crowder (13.9 ppg, 5.8 rpg, 46.3 FG%, 39.8 3-Pt.%), Marcus
Smart (10.6 ppg, career-high, 3.9 rpg, 4.6 apg, 1.6 spg-Led team), rookie
Jaylen Brown (6.6 ppg), Kelly Olynyk (9.0 ppg, 4.8 rpg, 51.2 FG%, 35.4 3-Pt.%),
Amir Johnson (6.5 ppg, 4.6 rpg), Gerald Green and Terry Rozier make plays and
shots when called upon?
Can
Grant, Carter-Williams (6.6 ppg), Bobby Portis (6.8 ppg, 4.6 rpg), Robin Lopez
(10.4 ppg, 6.4 rpg, 49.3 FG%), Nikola Mirotic (10.6 ppg, 5.5 rpg, 34.2 3-Pt.%)
do the same?
NBA
on TNT studio analyst and two-time champion with the Houston Rockets in the middle of the 1990s Kenny "The Jet" Smith has said that the regular season is where you make your name. The
playoffs is where you make your fame. That is what the Celtics will try to do
this postseason, especially Thomas and coach Stevens, who respects and accepts
the challenge his team has of breaking through this postseason.
“There’s
a great responsibility of the professional sports teams to play the right way
and I’ve always looked at that as a huge positive,” Stevens, whose record in
the postseason is 2-8 said. “I’ve never seen that as pressure because any team
I’m associated with as a coach and I want think our players feel the same way.
We want to be viewed as a group of people coming together for a common cause
that plays hard.”
Prediction: Celtics win series in six games.
(4) Washington Wizards versus (5)
Atlanta Hawks
(49-33) (43-39)
-Wizards
won season series 3-1.
We
have a rematch of the 2015 East Semifinals where it was it was the Hawks that
were Southeast Division champions and the Wizards who were the up and coming
bunch. TIn their sixth all-time postseason tilt, it’s the Wizards that enter as the Southeast Division
champions, who are title contender and the Hawks trying to end those dreams.
The
Wizards under new head coach Scott Brooks got off to a rough start this season
at 2-8 and All-Star guard John Wall was trying to round into form after
double-knee surgery in the off-season.
The
boys from the nation’s capital hit their stride back in February when they won
17-consecutive games at Verizon Center and finished with a 30-11 record at
home, tied with the Celtics for the second-best in the East as well as tied for
the third best record overall in the league.
Behind
Wall’s career-high averages of 23.1 points (Led team), 10.7 assists (2nd
NBA), 2.0 steals (2nd NBA) and 45.1 percent from the field, and was
third among guards with 50 double-doubles (7th NBA), the Wizards won
their first division title since 1978-79 and garnered their most regular season
wins as well.
To
put that into perspective, that season when the then defending NBA champion
Bullets won 54 games and captured the Atlantic Division. They lost to the then
Seattle Supersonics in the NBA Finals 4-1.
Wall’s
sidekick Bradley Beal played a career-best 77 games this season and posted
career-highs of 23.1 points, 3.5 assists per contest on 48.2 percent from the
floor and shot 40.4 percent from three-point range.
The
Wizards also got solid play from forwards Markieff Morris (14.0 ppg, 6.5 rpg,
45.7 FG%, 36.2 3-Pt.%) and Otto Porter, Jr. (13.4 ppg, 6.4 rpg, 1.5 spg, 51.6
FG%, 43.3 3-Pt.%-5th NBA), who are a big reason the Wizards finished
tied for eighth in three-point percentage in the regular season at 37.2.
The
team has also got solid play in the middle from center Marcin Gortat (10.8 ppg,
10.4 rpg-Led team, 57.9 FG%-5th NBA), who will be even more
important as his backup Ian Mahinmi (5.6 ppg, 4.8 rpg), who played in just 31
games because of injury will be shelved to start this series because of a
strained left calf. He will be re-evaluated in seven to 10 days.
The
acquisition of Bojan Bogdanovic (13.7 ppg, 44.5 FG%, 36.7 3-Pt.%) from the
Brooklyn Nets at the trade deadline, gave the Wizards the offensive sniper off
the bench they were lacking and the pickup of guard Brandon Jennings off the
waiver wire back in late March gave the Wizards the understudy to Wall that
fits perfectly.
The
also took the pressure off the likes of Kelly Oubre and Jr. Jason Smith to, who
can contribute in small spirts, which is more of a fit for them.
The
Hawks season can be described from the legend of Dr. Henry Jekyll and Mr.
Edward Hyde.
They
got off to a 9-2 start. Proceeded to go 28-34 up to Mar. 26, which included
their second seven-game losing streak of this season. They did manage to win six
of their final nine games, which included a victory over the No. 1 Seeded
Celtics and two wins over the defending champion Cleveland Cavaliers.
The
Hawks lost seven in a row and nine of 11 games from Mar. 18 to Apr. 6 and
during that time they were without their top scorer and second-leading
rebounder in All-Star forward Paul Millsap (3.7 apg, 44.2 FG%) at 18.1 and 7.7
respectably was shelved because of a knee issue. They were also without two of
their best perimeter players because of injury in Thabo Sefolosha (7.2 ppg, 4.4
rpg, 34.2 3-Pt.%) and Kent Bazemore (11.0 ppg, 34.6 3-Pt.%).
All
three of those players came back near the close of the season and the Hawks
managed to reach the postseason for a 10th straight season, the
longest active streak in East.
The
main key to this series is can the Hawks contain Wall, who held him to 18.5
points, 8.8 assists on 32.9 percent shooting in the four games and forced him
into an average of 3.8 turnovers per game.
“Their
guard play is excellent,” Hawks’ center Dwight Howard said of Wall and Beal.
“For us, we got to do a good job of trying to contain John Wall and Bradley
Beal. Just make them take tough shots. We don’t want to get Bradley Beal going
and then on the offensive end, we just got to do what we do best. Pound the
ball inside. Hit our threes and move the ball well.”
That
will be the job of the Hawks starting lead guard Dennis Schroder (17.9
ppg-career-high, 45.1 FG%, 6.3 apg), who in his first season as the full-time
starter had some good moments, as well as Sefolosha.
They
Hawks will also need Tim Hardaway, Jr. (14.5 ppg, 45.5 FG%, 35.7 3-Pt.%), who
really came on at the end of the season with averages of 18.3 and 18.2 scoring
averages in March, Bazemore to shoot the ball better from the field than the 40.9
percent he averaged. Not to mentioned strong play from Jose Calderon; rookies
Taurean Prince, who averaged 10.4 points per game in April and Malcolm Delaney,
Ersan Ilyasova (13.1 ppg, 5.9 rpg, 35.3 3-Pt.%) and Mike Muscala (6.2 ppg, 50.4
FG%, 41.8 3-Pt.%).
Center
Dwight Howard (13.5 ppg, 12.7 rpg-5th NBA, 63.3 FG%-5th
NBA), who finished sixth in the league with 53 double-doubles and Millsap must
be a presence in the paint on both ends and get the Wizards’ Gortat and Morris
in foul trouble.
Whoever
dictates the tempo of each game will have the greatest chance of winning the
series. For the Wizards, they want to keep the speed high, especially with
Wall, who at times can be a one-man fast break.
The
Hawks and head coach Mike Budenholzer wants to keep the pace slow and have his
team rely on ball movement and man movement, especially in the half court.
During
the regular season, the Hawks ranked a solid 10th in assists per
game at 23.6, but they were No. 2 last season at 25.6, and the year prior at
25.7. Unlike those two seasons though, the Hawks ranked high in committing
miscues this season averaging 15.2 turnovers per game, which ranked 28th
in “The Association.”
If
the Hawks are lazy with the ball, that will fuel the Wizards high octane
offense and fast breaks will come in waves.
If
they can keep the tempo down and pound the ball inside, they have a chance,
especially if the game is close. The Hawks were 26-18 in games that were within
five points in the final five minutes.
The
Wizards though are no stranger to close games this season as they were 32-23 in
games within five points in the final five minutes.
This
series also represents a chance of redemption for the Wizards, who lost to the
Hawks in the Semis two seasons back in six games and Wall broke his hand
missing the middle four games of the series.
The
team is confident and more mature now to take the challenge of being the
favorite, especially hosting their first home playoff
game since the previously mentioned 1978-79 team led by Hall of Famers Elvin
Hayes and Wes Unseld. They will look to beat the Hawks in the postseason for the fourth time in six opportunities.
Prediction: Wizards win series in six games.
(2) Cleveland Cavaliers versus (7)
Indiana Pacers
(51-31) (42-40)
-Cavaliers
won season series 3-1.
This
opening round matchup represents the defending NBA champions and their
challengers who are both coming off underachieving seasons.
The
defending champions have dealt with injuries to key players like All-Star Kevin
Love (19.0 ppg, 11.0 rpg, 37.3 3-Pt.%), J.R. Smith (8.6 ppg, 35.1 3-Pt.%),
integrating the like Deron Williams (11.0 ppg, 5.6 apg, 36.3 3-Pt.%), Derrick
Williams, and Kyle Korver (10.1 ppg, 46.4 FG%, 45.1 3-Pt.%-2nd NBA)
into their program during the season and their play at the defensive end of the
court has been awful.
They
went from being 40-16 on Feb. 23, on the night of the trading deadline Feb. 23
to 11-15 after that and were overtaken by the Celtics for the
No. 1 Seed in the East.
Most
teams, that go from having home court at least until The Finals to having to
start the Conference Finals on the road would have some doubt, but not the Cavs
and for sure not the four-time MVP and three-time Finals MVP LeBron James., whose team will be the No. 2 for the sixth time in his career. Those team's have reached The Finals the previous five.
“I’ve
played in a lot of big games. I’m the last person to ask about a big game in the
regular season. I’ve been to six straight Finals,” James said once after a Cavs
loss late in the regular season.
The
Cavs hope the additions of swingman Dahntay Jones, who was a part of last
season’s title team and center Edy Tavares, who had six points, 10 boards and
six block shots in the Cavs 98-83 loss versus the Toronto Raptors on Wednesday
night in the regular-season finale.
The
Cavs did attempt to get a better rim protector when they signed center Andrew
Bogut off waivers back in March, but he broke his left leg in his first game
back on Mar. 6 in the Cavs’ 106-98 loss versus the Heat.
The
Cavs defense of their title begins against the No. 7 Seeded Pacers, who needed
to win their final five games of the regular season to snag a playoff berth.
Back
on Feb. 6 after a win at the Oklahoma City Thunder, the Pacers were 29-22
thanks to a seven-game winning streak. A six-game losing streak followed and
after a tough 135-130 double-overtime loss at the Cavs fell dropped the Pacers
to 37-40 and were in serious free fall.
They
managed to rebound from that and won their final five games of the regular
season, led by All-Star swingman Paul George (23.7 ppg-Led team, 6.6 rpg, 1.6
spg, 46.1 FG%, 39.3 3-Pt.%), who himself has not played up to his potential in
the regular season.
He
managed to pull himself and his team together to close the season, and George
went from a 21.7 points average on 37.8 percent from distance in March to 32.8
points on 42 percent from three-point range in April.
Second-year
center Myles Turner (14.5 ppg, 7.3 rpg, 2.1 bpg-3rd NBA, 51.1 FG%,
34.8 3-Pt.%) has been up and down on both ends of the court; injuries have
slowed forward Thaddeus Young (11.0 ppg, 6.1 rpg, 1.5 spg, 52.7 FG%); Monta
Ellis (8.5 ppg, 44.3 FG%); C.J. Miles (10.7 ppg, 41.3 3-Pt.%) one night can
light it up from the perimeter like the fourth of July and another night can’t
ignite a spark; starting lead guard and Indianapolis native Jeff Teague (15.3
ppg, 7.8 apg-career-high, 35.7 3-Pt.%) has had solid moments, but has been
inconsistent in running the offense for new head coach Nate McMillan and it has
not helped that the likes of Glenn Robinson III, Al Jefferson (8.1 ppg, 4.2
rpg) and Rodney Stuckey have been injured and unavailable.
The
return of Lance Stephenson was a major shot in the arm for the Pacers, but it
might be a little too late for them, especially in this matchup with the
defending champs.
To
put into perspective the challenge that the Pacers are facing against the Cavs, in James’ playoff career, where he has averaged 28 points, 8.8 rebounds and 6.8 assists, his team’s series record with the Cavs and
Heat is 11-0 and the overall record is 44-7 in the quarterfinals, which includes six sweeps. Only Hall of Famer and four-time champion with the Los Angeles Lakers in the 1980s James Worthy has a higher winning percentage in the opening round of the postseason at .867 (26-4 record) in the current playoff format since 1984 than James' teams at .863. Hall of Famer Earvin "Magic" Johnson, who led the Lakers to five NBA crowns in the 1980s has the third highest at .862 (25-4). The last loss
James has sustained in the Quarterfinals is in Game 4 of 2012 opening round 89-87 at the the New
York Knicks on May, 6, 2012. Since then James has won 17 straight opening round games.
In
James career versus George and the Pacers, he is 3-0 in playoffs series, which
consists of a 4-2 victory in 2012 Semis with the Heat; a 4-3 win in the Eastern
Conference Finals with the Heat and again one year later in the East Finals
4-2.
"I respect him. I respect what he has done to this game. What he has been for this game. I respect the work that he's done in his career," George, who has averaged 1.84 points, 7.2 boards and 3.8 assists in his postseason career said of James.
"But, it comes a point when you're tired of losing and this is an opportunity and another chance to go toe-to-toe with one of the best or the best in the league. Again tired of losing. Tired of losing to this guy. So, I'm going to challenge him, every possession. I'm going to try to get the best of him and ultimately upset him in this series."
"I respect him. I respect what he has done to this game. What he has been for this game. I respect the work that he's done in his career," George, who has averaged 1.84 points, 7.2 boards and 3.8 assists in his postseason career said of James.
"But, it comes a point when you're tired of losing and this is an opportunity and another chance to go toe-to-toe with one of the best or the best in the league. Again tired of losing. Tired of losing to this guy. So, I'm going to challenge him, every possession. I'm going to try to get the best of him and ultimately upset him in this series."
It also does not help that the Pacers have lost three consecutive and six of their last seven road playoff contest.
In
their last encounter back on Apr. 2, George had a game-high of 43 points on 16
for 33 shooting, including 6 for 16 from three-point range with nine boards and
nine assists. That was offset by the triple-double of James with 41 points, 14
rebounds and 11 assists on 16 for 29 from the field.
Only
future Hall of Famer Tim Duncan (9,370) and Kareem Abdul-Jabbar have played
more minutes than the 8,384 by James, who played 822 in last season’s playoffs.
Hall
of Famer Michael Jordan (5,987), Abdul-Jabbar (5,762) and future Hall of Famer
Kobe Bryant have scored more postseason points in NBA history than the 5,572 of
James, who scored 522 points in the last season’s playoffs.
Hall
of Famers and five-time champion Earvin “Magic” Johnson (2,346) and John
Stockton (1,839) have more assists in the playoffs all-time than the 1,348 by
James.
Of
the players who made over seven consecutive trips to The Finals, they are all
Celtics in Hall of Famers Bob Cousy (7), Frank Ramsey and K.C. Jones (8), Sam
Jones and current Celtics color analyst for Comcast SportsNet New England Tom
Heinsohn (9) and the 11-time NBA champion Bill Russell (10) and James will be
looking to join this list.
Cavs
head coach Tyronn Lue, who became the first rookie head coach to win a title
since Heat president Pat Riley did it leading the Los Angeles Lakers in 1982 is
very confident in his team’s ability to hit that preverbal switch and put
themselves in position to get back to The Finals and repeat.
“I’m
going into the playoffs thinking we can win,” he said this week. “That’s my job
to make sure everybody in that locker room understands that we’re going to win.
That’s on me, but I’m pretty sure a lot of guys in that locker room feel the
same way.”
Prediction: Cavaliers win series in five.
(3) Toronto Raptors versus (6) Milwaukee
Bucks
(51-31) (42-40)
-Raptors
won season series 3-1.
A
season ago, the Raptors made it all the way to the Conference Finals, where
they lost to the eventual champion Cavs in six. The Bucks on the other hand
missed the postseason after making it the prior season. Both teams trying to
make that next step in their maturation meet in the opening round for the first
time.
The
Raptors won 51 games, capturing the team’s first back-to-back 50-plus win
seasons in franchise history, despite seeing their three-year run as Atlantic
Division champions end as the Celtics won it.
A
career-year turned in by All-Star guard DeMar DeRozan (27.3 ppg-5th
NBA, 5.2 rpg-career-high, 3.9 apg, 46.7 FG%-T-career-high), who finished just
.3 behind current Memphis Grizzlies’ guard Vince Carter’s 27.6 scoring average
in the 2000-01 season is a big reason for the Raptors winning 51 times. He was
especially good in the absence of the team’s starting lead guard in All-Star
Kyle Lowry (22.4 ppg-career-high, 7.0 apg-Led team, 4.8 rpg-career-high, 1.5
spg-Led team, 46.4 FG%, 41.2 3-Pt.%-career-high), who missed 21 games after the
All-Star break because of surgery on his right wrist.
In
the first 11 games without their floor general, the Raptors were just 6-5,
averaging 99.9 points per game from Feb. 23rd- Mar. 16th.
In the 10 games that followed, they were 8-2 and scored an average of 106
points per contest.
DeRozan
during this 21-game stretch where the team was 14-7, he scored 30 points or
more eight times.
With
Lowry back in the fold, the Raptors feel they are primed for a major playoff
run, but they know things will not be easy.
“For
us, we have to go out there and continue to be us,” Lowry, who garnered two
double-doubles out of his four games he played prior to the end of the regular
season.
“We
got to be defensive minded. Play hard and understand it’s not going to be any
easy games. Every single game will be a tough game. Every single game will be a
different game, but all we can do is prepare for Game 1 and that’s all we can
prepare for.”
Raptors
GM Masai Ujiri also made a couple key trades to bring more depth to the Raptors
in bringing in acquiring forward Serge Ibaka (14.8 ppg 6.8 rpg, 1.6 bpg, 48.0
FG%, 39.1 3-Pt.%) from the Orlando Magic on Feb. 14 and then acquiring P.J.
Tucker on Feb. 23 from the Phoenix Suns (6.7 ppg, 5.8 rpg, 35.7 3-Pt.%).
Those
additions added not only more depth to the roster, but gave the Raptors
interior and exterior defense as well as solid offensive threats from the
perimeter.
Ibaka
has been a solid compliment to starting center Jonas Valanciunas (12.0 ppg, 9.5
rpg-Led team, 55.7 FG%) and solidified the front court, which also consists of
rookie Jakob Poeltl, shot blocking ace Lucas Nogueira (1.6 bpg-Led team),
Pascal Siakam and sharp shooter Patrick Patterson (6.8 ppg, 4.5 rpg, 37.2
3-Pt.%).
Tucker
addition provides another wing who can score when called upon, but more
important be another deterrent to the opposing team’s best player on the
perimeter, which is also the role of DeMarre Carroll (8.9 ppg, 34.1 3-Pt.%) and
Norman Powell (8.4 ppg, 44.9 FG%)
Tucker,
Powell, and Carroll will have a tough assignment against the Bucks’ long and
athletic first-time All-Star Giannis Antetokounmpo, who had a breakout season
leading the Bucks in points (22.9), rebounds (8.8), assists (5.4), steals (1.6)
and blocks (1.9), while shooting a career-high of 52.1 percent from the floor.
The
Bucks were dealt a major setback to their season on Feb. 8, when in their
106-88 loss versus the Heat also lost their second-leading scorer Jabari Parker
(20.1 ppg, 6.2 rpg, 49.0 FG%, 36.5 3-Pt.%) to a torn ACL in his left knee. This
happened just as they got back Khris Middleton (14.7 ppg, 4.2 rpg, 45.0 FG%,
43.3 3-Pt.%), who missed the first 50 games from a pulled hamstring he
sustained before training camp.
Instead
of completely falling apart the Bucks went 19-12 from that point on and
finished with a winning record for the first time in a few years.
For
them to have a chance to win this series, their first since 2001 when they made
it to the Conference Finals, the Bucks need for Antetokounmpo to be at his best
against the Raptors like he was during the regular season, when he averaged
24.8 points, 7.8 boards and seven assists on 58.8 percent from the field.
They
need solid perimeter shooting from the likes of veteran Jason Terry, Mirza
Teletovic (6.4 ppg, 34.1 3-Pt.%), Matthew Dellavedova (7.6 ppg, 4.7 apg, 36.6
3-Pt.%) and Tony Snell (8.5 ppg, 45.5 FG%, 40.6 3-Pt.%).
Front
court player like Michael Beasley (9.4 ppg, 3.4 rpg, 53.2 FG%, 41.9 3-Pt.%),
Greg Monroe (11.7 ppg, 6.6 rpg, 53.4 FG%) and John Henson (6.8 ppg, 5.1 rpg,
1.3 bpg, 51.5 FG%), must bring a presence in the paint on both ends.
Rookie
of the Year candidate Malcolm Brogdon (10.2 ppg, 4.2 apg, 45.7 FG%, 40.4
3-Pt.%) must make Lowry expend some energy in trying to check him and Brogdon
must do his best to stay out of foul trouble.
The
fact that the Milwaukee Bucks got to the playoffs especially after a lot of ups
and downs early in the season is an accomplishment in itself and it shows this
young team under head coach Jason Kidd is heading in the right direction.
Even
if they did have Parker in toe, winning this series was going to be a challenge
still, especially the fact that the Bucks have lost to the Raptors 13 times in
their last 15 chances, and they Warriors had a better record since Mar. 17 than the 12-2 mark of the guys whose mantra is "We the North."
In
three of their four wins against the Bucks this season, the Raptors have
outscored the Bucks in the fourth quarter and have a +14.7 point-differential
in the three wins against them in four tries.
The
other thing the Raptors have in their favor is the fact that the last two
seasons, they led the NBA in wins after trailing by 10 points or more. The have
garnered 21 wins this season, which represents 41 percent of their 50 victories
in the regular season, with a 21-25 record, which is on the heels of a 15-22
record a season ago.
Prediction: Raptors win series in six games.
Western
Conference
(1)
Golden
State Warriors versus (8) Portland Trail Blazers
(67-15) (41-41)
-Warriors
won season series 4-0.
Say
hello to this year’s NBA First-Round tilt of David, the Portland Trail Blazers,
versus Goliath, the Golden State Warriors.
After
blowing a 3-1 series lead to the Cavs in last season Finals, the Warriors went
out and got perennial All-Star Kevin Durant in free agency and he has done
nothing but be a perfect fit for the defending Western Conference champions.
In
the first 60 games with Durant (25.1 ppg-Led team 8.3 rpg-career-high, 4.8 apg,
53.7 FG%-career-high, 37.5 3-Pt.%) the Warriors averaged 118.1 points per game
and allowed 105.5 and their record was 50-10.
Then
the end of second month of 2017 came and they not only lost at the Wizards
112-108 on Feb. 8, but Durant injured his left knee just 1:33 seconds into the
game and was shelved for the next 19 games.
Without
their best player, and in the middle of their toughest part of the season, the
defending Western Conference champions struggled losing two straight for the
first time in the last two seasons and wound up losing four out six in that
stretch.
Did
the Warriors panic? No. They went back to basics that helped them become one of
the best teams in the league. Ball movement. Playing for each other. Defending.
Rebounding and getting back to having fun.
That
resulted in the reemergence of reigning back-to-back MVP Stephen Curry (25.3
ppg, 6.6 apg, 4.5 rpg, 1.8 spg, 46.8 FG%, 41.1 3-Pt.%) and his fellow “Splash
Brother” in All-Star Klay Thompson (22.3 ppg, 46.8 FG%, 41.4 3-Pt.%).
The
ultimate swiss army knife Draymond Green (10.2 ppg, 7.9 rpg, 7.0 apg-Led team)
put played even harder and did all the little things that don’t show up in the
box score. Andre Iguodala (7.6 ppg, 4.0 rpg, 3.4 apg), chipped in the scoring
column, where in March he averaged 12.0 points, 3.7 boards and 3.4 assists on
59.4 percent from the field and 41.0 from three-point range.
The
rest of the supporting cast in Ian Clark (6.8 ppg, 48.7 FG%, 37.4 3-Pt.%), ZaZa
Pachulia (6.1 ppg, 5.9 rpg, 53.4 FG%), Matt Barnes, Shaun Livingston and rookie
Patrick McCaw stepped up and contributed as well.
Simply
the Warriors just played harder and better and head coach Steve Kerr’s team won
13 straight games and went 15-4 without Durant and while the scoring output was
at 109.9, the Warriors allowed just 100.9 to the opposition in that stretch.
When
Durant, whose 28.8 scoring average in his playoff career is the fourth highest all-time returned last Saturday night versus the New Orleans Pelicans (34-48), 16
points, 19 rebounds and six assists in the 123-101 win. Two nights later, same
production of 16 points, 10 rebounds and six assists in the Warriors 105-99
loss versus the Utah Jazz. In the regular-season finale versus the Los Angeles
Lakers (26-56), Durant had 29 points, eight boards and five assists in the
109-94 win. After going a combined 12 for 27 (44.4 percent) from the floor the
first two games, including 0 for 9 from three-point range, Durant was a solid
11 for 16, and 5 for 7 from distance showing he is slowly round back into form
for the what hopefully is a run to a championship.
“We
learned to win a lot of different ways and we got to do that in the playoffs,”
Curry, who averaged 27.3 points, 4.7 boards, 4.7 assists on 49.1 percent from
the field, including 48.4 from long range in three games against the Trail Blazers
this season, said to NBC Sports Bay Area’s Ros Gold-Onwude after the win. “We
had a good end to the season this year. Built a lot of momentum going into the
playoffs.”
The
first opponent for the back-to-back-to-back Pacific Division champions are last
season’s opponent in the Semis, the Portland Trail Blazers, who had their own
highs and lows this season.
With
three losses in four games bridging the beginning and end of the All-Star
break, the Trail Blazers were sitting at 24-35, giving up an average of 110.2
points to the opposition and had a point differential of -2.7. That is a recipe
for a lottery bound team.
When
the calendar changed to March, so did the play of the boys of "Rip City," as they won 13 of 16 and
overtook the Denver Nuggets for the No. 8 and final playoff spot in the West. In
that stretch where they won 17 of their last 23 games, the Trail Blazers gave
up 6.1 points less and their point differential was +5.1.
While
the dynamic guard duo of Damian Lillard (27.0 ppg-T-6th NBA, 5.9
apg-Led team, 4.9 rpg, 37.0 from three-point range) and last season’s Most
Improved Player C.J. McCollum (23.0 ppg, 48.0 FG%, 42.1 3-Pt.) played at a high
level, it was the play of the newest sensation in “Rip City” Jusuf Nurkic (10.2
ppg, 7.2 rpg, 50.7 FG%), who averaged 15.2 points, 10.4 rebounds and 1.9 blocks
per contest in the 20 games he played for the Trail Blazers, who acquired him
from the prior mentioned Nuggets and a First-Round pick for popular player Mason Plumlee.
Nurkic
has been on the shelf the past seven games after an MRI two weeks ago revealed
a non-displaced fracture in his right leg. The status to play in the series is still uncertain.
If
Nurkic cannot play or is limited in any fashion, picking up the slack falls in
the hands of Allen Crabbe (10.7 ppg, 46.8 FG%, 44.4 3-Pt.%-3rd NBA),
Maurice Harkless (10.0 ppg, 4.4 rpg, 50.3 FG%, 35.1 3-Pt.%), Evan Turner (9.0
ppg, 3.8 rpg), Al-Farouq Aminu (8.7 ppg, 7.4 rpg), Meyers Leonard and Noah
Vonleh, who produced back-to-back double-doubles of 12 points and 11 rebounds
in the Trail Blazers’ 99-98 last second win versus the might Spurs on Monday
and 12 points and 19 boards in the 103-100 loss versus the Pelicans on
Wednesday.
There
have been five No. 8 Seeds in NBA history to defeat a No. 1 Seed. If the Trail
Blazers want to join the 1994 Denver Nuggets, who upset the then Seattle
Supersonics 3-2; 1999 New York Knicks, who upset the Miami Heat 3-2; 2007
Warriors, who upset the Dallas Mavericks 4-2; 2011 Grizzlies, who upset the San
Antonio Spurs 4-2 and the 2012 Philadelphia 76ers, who upset the Bulls 4-2, you
first must believe they can do it. To a man, the Trail Blazers believe they can
do it.
“It’s
a matchup that we’re excited about. We respect them a lot and we know that
they’re going to come for us and we’re going to come for them,” Lillard, a
native of Oakland said of the team, which had the fourth best points per contest scoring margin in NBA history at +11.6.
“We
know how hard it was to get to this point and between the way we started the
season, our experience last year in the playoffs and what it took to get to
this point, I think all those experiences are going to help us,” Trail Blazers’
head coach Terry Stotts, whose team lost to the Warriors 4-1 in the Semis last
year said.
In
reality though, the Trail Blazers were swept by the Warriors in the regular
season, but all four games took place before the All-Star break.
In
those four games, the Warriors were a plus 90 in the first and third quarters,
outscoring the Trail Blazers 146-104 in the opening stanza and 140-92 coming
out of intermission.
In
the opening stanza, Durant and Curry combined for 26 of the Warriors’ 39 first
quarter points in the 135-90 win versus the Trail Blazers in the Dec. 17, 2016
meeting at Oracle Arena. In their Nov. 1, 2016 meeting in Oakland, Curry scored
23 of his 28 points in the third quarter in the 127-104 win.
It
is those small things that represent why the Warriors have won an NBA record
207 games in 246 opportunities over the past three seasons. They are primed to
make up for the losing in The Finals to the Cavs after leading 3-1.
Prediction: Warriors win series in five games.
(4) Los Angeles Clippers versus (5) Utah
Jazz
(51-31) (51-31)
-Clippers
won season series 3-1.
In
this Quarterfinal match-up we have the up and coming, young and talented
immovable object in the Utah Jazz versus the hungry, eager to prove themselves
irresistible force in the Los Angeles Clippers, who have dominated the Jazz in recent years.
The
past six years have been the best stretch of Clippers’ basketball in their
history in Southern California, which includes five straight 50-plus win
seasons, including this year’s and six straight trips to the playoffs.
However,
they have had one postseason disappointing finish after another. Their latest,
last season when All-Stars Chris Paul and Blake Griffin were injured in the
opening round against the Trail Blazers and they lost the last three games of
that series to fall 4-2.
The Clippers got off to a 14-2 start and looked like a team that was
going to take a wrecking ball to their playoff failures. But after that great
start, they were just 30-29 near the end of March.
A
98-97 head scratching loss versus the Sacramento Kings (32-50) on Mar. 26th
put a major damper on a big win the Clippers had just one day before.
They
finished the season strong with seven straight wins and earned home court
advantage versus the Jazz thanks critical 108-95 victory in their fourth
regular season matchup one day prior to their setback versus the Kings.
The
Jazz meanwhile are trying to build their own legacy having gone the slow, but
steady route of allowing their young cast led by first-time All-Star Gordon
Hayward (21.9 ppg-Led team, 5.4 rpg-career-high, 47.1 FG%, 39.8 3-Pt.%) and his
teammates like Rodney Hood (12.7 ppg, 37.1 3-Pt.%), Derrick Favors (9.5 ppg,
6.1 rpg, 48.7 FG%) and Rudy Gobert (14.0 ppg, 12.8 rpg-4th NBA, 2.6
bpg-Led NBA, 66.1 FG%-2nd NBA), who averaged 13.8 points and 11.8
boards against the Clippers this season., garnering double-doubles in three of those four games.
Their
first appearance in the postseason since 2012 matches them against a confident
Clippers bunch, who they have lost 18 of the last 21 meetings they have played against them.
To
put their regular season series into clearer context, the Jazz only averaged
73.5 points in their first two encounters, shooting just 36 percent from the
field in losing by 13 points (88-75) on Oct. 30, 2016 and by 16 points (88-72)
on Feb. 13. The Jazz went just 11 for 42 from three-point range, registered
just 16 assists on average and committed 14.5 turnovers per game.
The
lone win the Jazz had versus the Clippers on Mar. 13 114-108, they outscored
the Clippers 65-52 in the second half, including exploding for 40 points in the
third quarter. They shot 52.6 percent from the field; went an incredible 14 for
21 from three-point range; out-rebounded L.A. 49-36; committed just nine
turnovers and outscored the Clippers 36-30 in the paint.
The
Clippers turn the tables as mentioned 13 days later winning by 13 points and
clinched a playoff berth. They held Utah to just 43 percent shooting, including
8 for 26 from distance. The Clippers were 25 for 28 from the charity stripe,
while the Jazz were just 13 for 18; forced them into 14 turnovers, turning them
into 12 points and outscored them in the paint to the tune of 58-46.
Even
winning three of the four meetings and having dominated the Jazz in recent
years, the Clippers are not taking their first-round opponent lightly.
“There
a great team. Well coached. They run their offense all the way through,”
Clippers center DeAndre Jordan said about the Jazz.
“With
us, we cannot let those guys connect the dots. We got to make it tough on them.
Push their catches out. Be more physical… and dominate on both ends of the
floor.”
As
all series do, it comes down to which star or stars rise to the moment. Will it
be the “Big Three” of the Clippers in Paul (18.1 ppg, 9.2 apg-4th
NBA, 2.0 spg-3rd NBA, 5.0 rpg, 47.6 FG%, 41.1 3-Pt.%), Griffin (21.6
ppg, 8.1 rpg, 4.9 apg, 49.3 FG%) and Jordan (12.7 ppg, 13.8 rpg-3rd,
NBA, 1.7 bpg-T-7th NBA, 71.4 FG%) or the up and coming first-time
All-Star of the Jazz in Hayward.
Along
with the stars, the so-called “others,” as NBATV/NBA on TNT analyst and
four-time champion Shaquille O’Neal likes to call the role players will play a
major factor in this series.
For
the Clippers, that is the likes of starting shooting guard J.J. Redick (15.0
ppg, 44.5 FG%, 42.9 3-Pt.%-6th NBA); the son of head coach Glenn
“Doc” Rivers in Austin (12.0 ppg-career-high, 37.1 3-Pt.%), who is questionable
at the start of this series because of a left hamstring strain; forward Marresse
Speights (8.7 ppg, 4.5 rpg, 44.5 FG%, 37.2 3-Pt.%); Sixth man extraordinaire
Jamal Crawford (12.3 ppg, 36.0 3-Pt.%), understudy guard Raymond Felton and Luc
Mbah a Moute.
For
the Jazz, it veterans George Hill (16.9 ppg-career-high, 47.4 FG%, 40.3
3-Pt.%), Boris Diaw and Joe Johnson (9.2 ppg, 41.1 3-Pt.%), who were brought in
this year just for this moment. There will also be a microscope on Dante Exum,
and Shelvin Mack (7.8 ppg, 44.6 FG%), Alec Burks (6.7 ppg) and Trey Lyles (6.2
ppg).
What
will also be key is who can play the game at their tempo? The Clippers are a
team that wants to get up and down the floor, ranking sixth in the NBA in
scoring at 108.7 ppg; second in field goal percentage at 47.5 percent and tied
for sixth in three-point percentage at 37.5 percent.
The
Jazz on the other hand, their strong suit is playing defense, led by Gobert in
the middle, ranking No. 1 in points allowed at 98.6; are tied for second in
opponent’s field goal percentage at 44.3 and are second in fast break points
allowed and in second chance points allowed at 10.5 and 10.6 respectably. They
are tied for eighth in blocks per game at five and are fourth in rebound
differential at plus three.
This
series will also come down to a war of nutrition. Over the course of the
season, the Clippers and Jazz dealt with injuries to key personnel.
Paul
and Griffin missed 21 games each because of injury and the Jazz between
Hayward, Hill, Hood, Favors, Mack, Gobert, Burks and Exum missed a total of 165
games. The projected starting quintet of Hayward, Favors, Gobert, Hood and Hill
played a total of just 14 games together, but that unit for head coach Quin
Snyder was 12-2.
The
Clippers are the more experienced team and have a lot to lose if they have an
early flame out this postseason.
Aside
from making All-Star teams, playing for our country for Team USA and being in a
lot of commercials, the core group of Paul, Griffin, Redick, Crawford, and
Jordan have not done a lot in the postseason. Paul has played in 69 career
postseason games entering these playoffs and has yet to appear in the
Conference Finals. That is the second most in NBA postseason history.
Paul and
Griffin can opt out of their contracts and become free agents this July, and Redick, whose understudies in Crawford and Austin Rivers make more money than him will be a free agent this off-season.
So, if there was a time for them that elusive playoff run, it must happen this year. If not now, when?
So, if there was a time for them that elusive playoff run, it must happen this year. If not now, when?
“We’ve
been together a long time and it’s weird to say and it’s bad to say, but our
goal isn’t to make it out the second round. It’s to win a championship, but we
haven’t done that,” Jordan said.
“We
obviously want to contend for a championship and win a championship, but in
order to do that, we have to find a way to get over this hump. We’ve been
trying to do that. We’re building on it every year. We just got to figure it
out.”
Prediction: Clippers win series in seven games.
(2)
San
Antonio Spurs versus (7) Memphis Grizzlies
(61-21) (43-39)
-Season
series tied 2-2.
For
the fifth time since the 2004 and the fourth time in the last seven seasons,
the Southwest Division rivals the five-time NBA champion San Antonio Spurs,
making their 20th straight playoff appearance match up with the
Memphis Grizzlies, making their seventh straight playoff appearance.
The
Spurs have won three of the four postseason encounters, with all three ending
in sweeps, including last season’s opening round tilt, where the Grizzlies were
being held together with sticks and glue with several key players like starting
center Marc Gasol and starting lead guard Mike Conley were shelved because of
injuries.
Six
seasons prior though, the Grizzlies as the No. 8 Seed upset the then No. 1 Seeded
Spurs in six games.
Since then however, the Spurs have won eight consecutive postseason meetings against their division rivals, which is the third longest active streak in "The Association."
Despite
the retirement of Tim Duncan, the continued emergence of MVP candidate and
reigning back-to-back Defensive Player of the Year Kawhi Leonard (25.5 ppg-9th
NBA, 5.8 rpg, 1.8 spg-T-7th NBA, 48.5 FG%, 38.0 3-Pt.%) is a big reason
why the Spurs won 60-plus games for the seventh time in franchise history and
did it in back-to-back seasons.
The
Spurs also maintained the streak of consecutive 50-plus win seasons, extending
the NBA record to 18 and have the longest active streak of consecutive
postseason appearances in North American sports at 20 in a row.
For
the Grizzlies in their first season under new head coach David Fizdale, a major
change occurred in the starting unit as veteran power forward Zach Randolph
(14.1 ppg, 8.2 rpg-Led team) came off the bench and JaMychal Green (8.9 ppg,
4.9 rpg, 50.1 FG%) started in his place.
While
Randolph adjusted well to his new role, the Grizzlies as a team were
inconsistent for much of this season and 13 losses in their last 20 games is
why they dropped to No. 7 in the West.
This
matchup features two teams that like to get down and dirty where games are in
the high 80s and low 90s in terms of scoring.
In
three of the four meetings between the division rivals this season, both teams
scored under 100 points.
The
Grizzlies won the Mar. 18 encounter 104-96 versus the Spurs at FedEx Forum in
Memphis, TN, where the team used a 29-18 first quarter to charge their way to a
victory. Starting lead guard Mike Conley led the way with 19 points, seven boards
and six assists. Randolph had 18 points and seven boards off the bench. Gasol
had 16 points, seven assists and five boards. Green chipped in with 13 points,
while Troy Daniels had 11 points off the bench and Vince Carter had 10.
In
their final match-up back on Apr. 4 at AT&T Center in San Antonio, TX, the
Spurs beat the Grizzlies 95-89 in overtime, outscoring them 11-5 in the extra
frame. They were able to force overtime thanks to inbound lob pass from Pau
Gasol to LaMarcus Aldridge that he scored to nod the game at 84 after 48
minutes.
What
gives the Spurs the advantage in this series is that they have proven guys that
have seen everything and nothing will phase them at this time of the year.
Led
by Leonard, the previously mentioned Pau Gasol (12.4 ppg, 7.8 rpg-Led team,
50.2 FG%, 53.8 3-Pt.%), who will be going against his young brother Marc for
the first time in postseason; Patty Mills (9.5 ppg, 41.4 3-Pt.%), veterans Manu
Ginobili (7.5 ppg, 39.2 3-Pt.%) and Tony Parker (10.1 ppg, 4.5 apg-Led team,
46.6 FG%), Danny Green (7.3 ppg, 37.9 3-Pt.%), David Lee (7.3 ppg, 5.6 rpg,
59.0 FG%), Jonathon Simmons, Dewayne Dedmon and rookie Davis Bertans and Kyle
Anderson.
For
the Grizzlies, to pull the upset again and end an eight-game postseason losing streak against the Southwest champions, the younger Gasol (19.5
ppg-career-high, 6.3 rpg, 4.6 apg-career-high, 45.9 FG%, 38.8 3-Pt.%), who made
a career-high 104 triples this season and Randolph must dominate inside. Conley
(20.5 ppg-career-high, 6.3 apg, 45.9 FG%, 40.7 3-Pt.%-career-high) must
dominate Parker and the Grizzlies need strong performances from Daniels (8.2
ppg, 38.9 3-Pt.%), Carter (8.0 ppg, 37.8 3-Pt.%) and James Ennis III (6.7 ppg,
4.0 rpg, 45.5 FG%, 37.2 3-Pt.%).
That
will be even more necessary as the father of the team’s mantra “Grit and
Grind,” in swingman Tony Allen (9.1 ppg, 5.5 rpg, 1.6 spg-Led team) is down
because of a strained right calf. That means they are going to have a devil of
a time slowing down Leonard, who had 32 points, 12 rebounds and two steals on
10 for 24 shooting, including 5 for 8 from three-point range in the Apr. 4
loss.
After
falling in the Semis to the Thunder a season ago after winning a franchise
record 61 games, the Spurs want a crack at the Warriors and a chance for title
No. 6. With Leonard playing at a high level, the Spurs have a chance, but they
need Parker to play at a high level as well for that to happen.
Prediction: Spurs win series in five games.
(3)
Houston
Rockets versus (6) Oklahoma City Thunder
(55-27) (47-35)
-Rockets
won season series 3-1.
They
have been the headliners of this remarkable NBA season. Putting up
triple-doubles and double-doubles at the drop of a hat and leading their teams
to improbable seasons. Now the former teammates and leading MVP candidates and
their squads fittingly square off in the postseason for the second time, only
this one, both are the headliners for their respective teams.
James
Harden of the Houston Rockets and Russell Westbrook of the Oklahoma City
Thunder have engaged in a long distance statistical war from the jump of this
season and they will get to do it head-to-head in what is anticipated to be the
most entertaining of all the first-round battles.
With
Kevin Durant leaving OKC to join the Warriors, the Thunder became Westbrook’s
team and all he did was show the Thunder can move forward with him at the helm
as he became the second player in NBA history to average a triple-double for a
season with 31.6 points (Led NBA), 10.7 rebounds (10th NBA) and 10.4
assists (3rd NBA), matching Hall of Famer Oscar Robertson’s.
Westbrook, who averaged the most points per game of any player against the Rockets in the regular season at 36.3, along with 9.3 assists and nine boards in their four matchups
also broke the single-season NBA record for triple-doubles in a single-season
with 42 passing the “Big O,” who had 41 back in the 1961-62 season.
If
that was not enough, three of those triple-doubles authored while scored 50 points
or more, a new NBA record.
The
Thunder when Westbrook garnered a triple-double were 33-9 in the regular season
and he moved up to fourth all-time on the triple-double list with 79 in his
career passing the late Wilt Chamberlin and the Thunder in that span are 66-13.
After
a disappointing 41-41 season a year ago and a five-game opening round exit at
the hands of the Warriors, the Rockets hired Mike D’Antoni as their new head
coach and his decision to make James Harden the point guard took his game and
the Rockets offense to historic heights.
They
matched half their win total from a season ago just from Dec. 1, 2016 to Jan.
10 alone with a 20-2 mark that essentially sealed them into the No. 3 spot in
the West behind the Spurs and Warriors.
After
not making any either the All-NBA First, Second or Third team’s a season ago,
all Harden did was put up career-highs averages of 29.1 points (2nd
NBA), 11.2 assists (Led NBA), 8.1 boards and 1.5 steals.
He
was second to Westbrook in triple-doubles this season with 22, which gave him
31 for his career and two of those were when he scored 50 points, which tied
him all-time with Hall of Famers Robertson and the late Wilt Chamberlin, who
had just two in their entire careers. Harden also led the league in double-doubles
with 64, two more than Westbrook.
Harden outscored Westbrook 145-82 in their four regular season meetings.
Harden outscored Westbrook 145-82 in their four regular season meetings.
While
Westbrook and Harden are the headliners of the series, there is more to this
series than just them and that will determine who advances.
The
Rockets this season shattered the NBA record for three-pointers made this
season with 1,181 connections in 3,306 attempts. They led the NBA in triples
made per game at 14.4; shattered their own record for attempts per contest at
40 per game, and 37.7 percent of their points on the season came from distance,
which led the NBA.
Anderson
(13.6 ppg, 4.6 rpg, 40.3 3-Pt.%), hit 204 three-pointers on the year, the
second time in his career he made over 200 triples.
The
Thunder rode Westbrook’s magical season to the playoffs, but for them to
advance, they must get solid production from Victor Oladipo (15.9 ppg, 36.1
3-Pt.%) on both ends.
Steven
Adams (11.3 ppg, 7.7 rpg, 57.1 FG%), Enes Kanter (14.3 ppg, 6.7 rpg, 54.5 FG%),
Taj Gibson (10.8 ppg, 6.2 rpg, 51.5 FG%), rookie Domantas Sabonis (5.9 ppg, 3.6
rpg) and Jerami Grant must be a factor especially in the paint on both ends for
the Thunder, who ranked second in percentage of points scored in the paint at
46.8.
Rookie
Alex Abrines (6.0 ppg, 38.1 3-Pt.%), Doug McDermott (9.0 ppg, 44.7 FG%, 37.0
3-Pt.%) and Oladipo need to make plays on the perimeter on both ends.
Perhaps
the most important role player of the Thunder in this series will be starting
shooting guard Andre Roberson (6.6 ppg, 5.1 rpg), who did as good a job at
guarding Harden as anyone in the league this season.
While, Harden averaged 20.5 points, 12.3 assists and 7.3 rebounds against the Rockets in the regular season, Roberson
held the MVP candidate to 34.3 percent shooting (10-33) from the field; to
just 2 for 14 from three-point range and averaged 6.3 turnovers. Only the Warriors held Harden to a lower
field goal percentage on the season at 32.1.
While
the role players of the Thunder may not be able to match the offensive output
of the Rockets, they need to as productive to the likes of the previously
mentioned Anderson and Gordon, Clint Capela (12.6 ppg, 8.1 rpg, 64.3 FG%-3rd
NBA), Patrick Beverly (9.5 ppg, 5.9 rpg, 4.2 apg, 38.2 3-Pt.%), Trevor Ariza
(11.7 ppg, 5.7 rpg, 1.8 spg-Led team, 34.4 3-Pt.%), fellow Sixth Man of the
Year candidate Lou Williams17.5 ppg, 36.5 3-Pt.%), Nene (9.1 ppg, 4.2 rpg, 61.7
FG%) and Montrezl Harrell (9.1 ppg, 3.8 rpg, 65.2 FG%) and Sam Dekker (6.5 ppg,
3.7 rpg).
In
the four regular season matchups with the Thunder, the “others” for the Rockets
went 77 of 134 in the two wins at Toyota Center.
The other major key in determining which team wins this series is who can minimize their miscues?
The
Rockets and Thunder average 14.5 and 14.6 turnovers per game, ranking 25th
and 26th respectably in the NBA. Westbrook averages 5.4 turnovers
himself and Harden coughs it up 5.7 times per game in the regular season.
If
this Harden and Westbrook bring to the table what they have all season long, we
are in for a treat in this series.
Prediction: Rockets win series in seven games.
Information,
statistics, and quotations are courtesy of 4/16 17 6 a.m. edition of NBATV's "Gametime," presented by State Farm with Vince Cellini, Caron Butler and Sam Mitchell; 4/15/17 2:30 p.m. edition ESPN's "NBA Countdown," presented by Straight Talk Wireless on ABC with Michelle Beadle, Jalen Rose and Chauncey Billups; 3/25/17 3:30 p.m. contest Utah Jazz
versus Los Angeles Clippers on FOX Sports Prime Ticket with Ralph Lawler, Mike
Smith and Kristina Pink; 4/13/17 6 a.m. edition of NBATV’s “Gametime,” with
Vince Cellini, Steve Smith, and Dennis Scott; 4/13/17 6 p.m. edition of “Time
to Schein,” on CBS Sports Network, with Adam Schein; 4/13/17 7:30 p.m. edition of
NBATV’s “The Starters: Playoff Preview,” presented by Jack Daniel’s Tennessee
Honey with Tas Melas, J.E. Skeets, Leigh Ellis, and Trey Kerby; 4/13/17 8 p.m.
NBATV’s “Eastern Conference Playoff Preview,” with Matt Winer, Steve Smith and
Sam Mitchell; 4/13/17 9 p.m. NBATV’s “Western Conference Playoff Preview,” with
Jared Greenberg, Steve Smith and Sam Mitchell; www.nba.com; www.espn.com/nba/stats/teams/standings; www.basketball-reference.com/teams/HOU/2017;
http://en.m.wikipedia.org/wiki/List_of_Toronto_Raptors_seasons;
http://en.m.wikipedia.org/wiki/List_of_Los_Angeles_Clippers_seasons; http://en.m.wikipedia.org/wiki/List_of_Boston_Celtics_seasons; http://en.m.wikipedia.org/wiki/List_of_Washington_Wizards_seasons;
http://en.m.wikipedia.org/wiki/List_of_San_Antonio_Spurs_seasons;
http://en.m.wikipedia.org/wiki/List_of_Memphis_Grizzlies_seasons.
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